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Testing whether the Frenet-Serret extrinsic curvature ($\kappa$) of a model's hidden state trajectory can predict structural shifts in the model's persona or criterion (e.g., eval-awareness, preference changes) without needing behavioral labels.
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**See [experiment.py](experiment.py) for the code.**
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## Concepts & Motivation
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- **Guided Chain-of-Thought (CoT) with Logprobs:** Standard teacher-forced evaluation only measures the effect of an intervention on a single token, missing how the reasoning process itself changes. Full on-policy generation captures reasoning but is slow and hard to parse. The *Guided CoT* trick strikes a balance: we let the model generate a short reasoning trace (~32 tokens) greedily, then append a fixed suffix (e.g., `\nI should answer now.\nMy choice: **`) to force a decision. By running a single forward pass over this combined sequence, we extract both the hidden state trajectory of the reasoning *and* calibrated log-probabilities (`log P(Yes) - log P(No)`) at the final position. This provides a clean, bounded uncertainty estimate while capturing how personas or interventions alter the actual reasoning path.
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## Setup
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This project is managed by `uv`.
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### Requirements
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- Python 3.11+
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- `uv` installed
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uv sync
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```
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## Running the Experiment
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You can explore the experiment either via the Jupyter Notebook or by running the generated Python script directly.
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### Via Notebook
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To spin up Jupyter Lab/Notebooks:
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```bash
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uv run jupyter notebook
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```
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Then open `experiment.ipynb` and run the cells.
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### Via Script
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To run the python script directly (converted from the notebook via `jupytext`):
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```bash
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uv run python experiment.py
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```
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*(Note: Ensure you have your X11/Wayland display setup to see the matplotlib plot, or run with `MPLBACKEND=Agg` if headless).*
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## How it Works
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We use the **Guided CoT trick**:
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1. Generate ~32 tokens of Chain of Thought reasoning (`n_think`) using greedy decoding.
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2. Force the model to transition to an answer by appending a specific suffix (`\nI should answer now.\nMy choice: **`).
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3. Run a single forward pass over the full sequence.
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4. Extract the final-layer hidden states during the reasoning step.
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5. Calculate the Frenet-Serret extrinsic curvature $\kappa(t) = \|\gamma''(t)\| / \|\gamma'(t)\|^3$ of these states using finite differences.
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6. Compare $\kappa(t)$ between opposite personas ("honest" vs. "dishonest" vs. "neutral baseline") on daily dilemmas.
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## Model
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The default script uses `Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct` as it fits comfortably on small GPUs or CPUs. You can easily scale this up by changing `MODEL_NAME` in `experiment.ipynb`/`experiment.py`.
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## See also
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- [RepEng]() A nice hackable activation steering repo
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