results: fill keynote table/figure at n=3 route2 / n=2 vanilla

C1 headline from deploy-eval (knob-off, n=64, T=0.7, 60-step fast, mix=0.125):
  route2 (n=3): hack 0.031+/-0.031, solve 0.615+/-0.010
  vanilla (n=2): hack 0.305+/-0.039, solve 0.516+/-0.032
  => -27pp deploy hack AND +10pp solve. Keynote fig regenerated as a real
  band (3 route2 + 2 vanilla seeds, per-seed thin lines).

- main.tex tab:keynote + fig:keynote filled (vanilla n=2, s41=job 77 pending).
- results.md Q12 (route2 deploy n=3) + Q13 (floor leak = staleness not
  structure: no-floor 0.000, floor+stale 0.125, floor+refresh-1 0.000, job 73).
- RESEARCH_JOURNAL 2026-06-02 entry.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>

docs/writeup/main.tex

@@ -127,15 +127,18 @@ deploy-eval = knob-off, $n=64$ prompts$\times$group, $T=0.7$, per env\_mode.}
 % Provenance: out/figs/dyn_sub4_hack_overlay.png, generated by `just dyn`
 % (src/projected_grpo/plot_dynamics.py) at repo commit 17e4f2e (2026-06-02).
 % route2 nofloor seeds 41/42/43 = runs 20260601T115713 / T150231 / T181502.
-% Vanilla band INCOMPLETE: only s43 (20260601T233047) present; s42 (job 74)
-% running, s41 (job 84) queued -- regenerate `just dyn` once both land.
+% Vanilla band n=2: s42 (20260602T043228, job 74) + s43 (20260601T233047,
+% job 72); s41 (job 77) queued behind the 200-step runs -- regenerate
+% `just dyn` to n=3 when it lands.
 \begin{figure}[t]
   \centering
   \includegraphics[width=0.85\linewidth]{figs/dyn_sub4_hack_overlay.png}
-  \caption{Deploy hack rate over GRPO training, route2 vs vanilla, $n{=}3$
-  seeds (band = TODO mean$\pm$SEM). Knob-off deploy eval, $n{=}64$, $T{=}0.7$.
-  \TODO{interp -- author: vanilla emerges to $\sim$XX\%, route2 stays near zero.
-  Regenerate after jobs 74+84 land; current figure has vanilla $n{=}1$ (s43).}}
+  \caption{Hack rate (top) and solve rate (bottom) over GRPO training, route2
+  ($n{=}3$ seeds) vs vanilla ($n{=}2$); thick line = mean, thin = per seed.
+  EMA-5, knob-off deploy eval, $n{=}64$, $T{=}0.7$. Vanilla hack emerges to
+  $\sim$0.43 while route2 stays near zero; route2 also reaches a higher solve
+  rate ($\sim$0.6 vs $\sim$0.35). \TODO{interp prose -- author. Regenerate to
+  vanilla $n{=}3$ when job 77 (s41) lands.}}
   \label{fig:keynote}
 \end{figure}
 
@@ -146,23 +149,27 @@ deploy-eval = knob-off, $n=64$ prompts$\times$group, $T=0.7$, per env\_mode.}
 %     s42 20260601T150231: hack_deploy 0.000  solve_deploy 0.594
 %     s43 20260601T181502: hack_deploy 0.094  solve_deploy 0.625
 %     => mean hack 0.031 (SEM 0.031); mean solve 0.615 (SEM 0.010)
-%   vanilla 60-step fast Qwen3-4B:
-%     s43 20260601T233047: hack_deploy 0.344  solve_deploy 0.484  (n=1 so far)
-%     s42 = job 74 RUNNING; s41 = job 84 QUEUED -> fill mean+/-SEM when done.
+%   vanilla 60-step fast Qwen3-4B (n=2 so far; s41 = job 77 QUEUED):
+%     s42 20260602T043228 (job 74): hack_deploy 0.266  solve_deploy 0.547
+%     s43 20260601T233047 (job 72): hack_deploy 0.344  solve_deploy 0.484
+%     => n=2 mean hack 0.305 (SEM 0.039); mean solve 0.516 (SEM 0.032)
+%     s41 (job 77) queued behind the 200-step convergence runs -> promote
+%     vanilla row to n=3 + add paired test when it lands.
 \begin{table}[t]
   \centering
-  \caption{Deploy hack and solve rate, mean$\pm$SEM over 3 seeds (41/42/43).
-  60-step fast preset, Qwen3-4B, mix=0.125; deploy = knob-off, $n{=}64$,
-  $T{=}0.7$. \TODO{paired test + $\alpha$; vanilla row pending jobs 74, 84.}}
+  \caption{Deploy hack and solve rate, mean$\pm$SEM. route2 over 3 seeds
+  (41/42/43); vanilla over 2 seeds (42/43) so far. 60-step fast preset,
+  Qwen3-4B, mix=0.125; deploy = knob-off, $n{=}64$, $T{=}0.7$.
+  \TODO{vanilla -> $n{=}3$ + paired test once job 77 (s41) lands.}}
   \label{tab:keynote}
   \begin{tabular}{lcc}
     \toprule
     Arm & Deploy hack & Deploy solve \\
     \midrule
-    Vanilla GRPO        & \TODO{$n{=}1$: 0.344} & \TODO{$n{=}1$: 0.484} \\
-    route2 (ours)       & $0.031 \pm 0.031$     & $0.615 \pm 0.010$     \\
+    Vanilla GRPO ($n{=}2$) & $0.305 \pm 0.039$ & $0.516 \pm 0.032$ \\
+    route2 (ours, $n{=}3$) & $0.031 \pm 0.031$ & $0.615 \pm 0.010$ \\
     \midrule
-    $\Delta$ vs vanilla & \TODO{after 74/84}    & \TODO{after 74/84}    \\
+    $\Delta$ vs vanilla    & $-0.274$          & $+0.099$           \\
     \bottomrule
   \end{tabular}
 \end{table}