Commit Graph
58 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
wassnameandClaudypoo f39a0763ab Add WVS/Inglehart-Welzel culture map placing LLMs among societies
wvs_map.py runs tinymfv on the GlobalOpinionQA WVS 4-option questions: greedy
complete country x question block (60 x 74, no imputation), ipsative-PCA to 2 axes
with IW zone ellipses, models administered the same questions (logprob reader for
open, sampling reader for API) and projected as dots. Extracted draw_zone_ellipses
from plot_ipsative_pca so both maps share it. Human map reproduces the Economist
layout: African-Islamic/South-Asia (survival) left, English-Speaking/Protestant
Europe (self-expression) right, Confucian/Latin America/Orthodox separating.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-04 20:37:02 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 2af00b374c Extract IW zone taxonomy to tinymfv.zones, extend to WVS 90 countries
Second consumer (the WVS map) needs the same curated zone data, so move it out of
the showcase script into the package rather than duplicate it (avoids drift in
research data). Extended IW_ZONE to cover all 90 WVS countries + SAR/name-variant
aliases. Showcase script now imports zones_for from tinymfv.zones.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-04 20:26:44 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo b2532acd90 Switch zone blobs to country-mean covariance ellipses, fit PCA on means
Per feedback the individual-respondent contours filled the frame (within >>
between variance). Now each IW zone is a ~1.6-sigma covariance ellipse over its
member country-mean dots, with an eigenvalue floor so 1-2 country zones get a
visible blob instead of a dot/line (fixes big5 SG/PK orphans). PCA now fits on the
country means M so the axes are between-country and zones separate. mfq2/big5/mfv
read cleanly; humor still overlaps (real negative result: humor country profiles
don't cluster the IW way).

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-04 20:22:23 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 40d08f8d7a Establish P4 WVS map data foundation (GlobalOpinionQA)
Probe + artifact: the WVS subset of Anthropic/llm_global_opinions is 353 questions
over 90 countries (212 questions with >=40 countries), matching tinymfv's MC +
human-anchor shape and dense enough for an Economist-scale map. Documents the
selections parse recipe and the open axis-definition fork (literal IW 10-question
factor model vs shared-question ipsative PCA) before model-run compute.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-04 19:43:24 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo f5efbd24bd Add sampling readout for logprob-less API models (OpenRouter)
read_api.read_items_sampled samples N chat completions at temperature and uses the
empirical answer frequency as the per-item categorical p, emitting the same row
shape the logprob reader does -- so E/profile/entropy flow through the identical
per_item_categorical + reducers and a frontier model without logprobs drops onto
the same map. pmass_allowed becomes the parse rate (sampling coherence gate); C/LO
are omitted by design (log of a frequency has -inf zeros). This is the Economist's
'average of ten responses' method.

UAT (docs/reviews/p3_api_sampling_uat.md): E_mc == E_logprob to <=0.01 (unbiased),
llama-3.1-8b sampled E lands on the same [1,5] scale, parse-rate gate flags
off-format draws.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-04 19:39:18 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 2c2dd9b9bf Add MFQ-2 per-zone p90 respondent ellipses to ipsative map
respondent_profiles now returns countries alongside profiles; plot_ipsative_pca
gains respondent_zones -> a p90 Gaussian ellipse per IW zone of the projected
Atari respondent cloud (edge-only, no scipy). mfq2 uses these real-respondent
ellipses; the other instruments keep country-mean hulls. Journal notes the
finding: individual profiles overlap across cultures (within >> between variance),
so only the country-mean hull reproduces the Economist's clean zone blobs.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-04 19:25:52 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 0e7178dfbd Add Inglehart-Welzel zone hulls + outlier labels to ipsative maps
Echoes the Economist WVS 'Godless hippies' chart: shaded convex-hull blobs per
IW cultural zone (inline 2D hull, no scipy dep so the maps extra stays
matplotlib-only) and bold-first labels for named outliers. Caller owns the zone
taxonomy + name/ISO2 normalizer, fails loud on unmapped countries; the corrupt
'(nu' big5 row is explicitly excluded with a warning.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-04 19:16:41 +08:00
wassname 061ce8a4f6 Export MFQ2 sample logprobs for N bootstrap 2026-07-01 06:24:13 +08:00
wassname 9fc3852a8a Require explicit showcase steering anchor 2026-06-30 14:08:16 +08:00
wassname fe3b0aff2c Gate showcase paths on contrast and margin 2026-06-30 14:01:59 +08:00
wassname 0d7654506c Add showcase effect table summarizer 2026-06-30 13:50:39 +08:00
wassname 6fcdfea30f Support sampled survey reads and MFV c-grid plots 2026-06-30 13:28:20 +08:00
wassname d8941f47ac Rewrite README around profile plots 2026-06-30 12:38:20 +08:00
wassname 0bea238224 Rewrite README around datasets and maps 2026-06-29 20:51:54 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo f1d23b338e plots: range+map only for every instrument; legend = c-multiplier not full desc
- drop splom/splom_zoom/range_zoom (ordinal) and the MFV dlogit dumbbell; every
  instrument now yields exactly map_pca_ipsative + range, uniform.
- range pole label is now 'c=+1'/'c=-1' (the multiplier); the full steer desc
  stays in the title only (was crammed into each pole annotation).

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-26 04:30:02 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 3fcdda4516 plots: drop redundant foundation_dcontrast dumbbell
The range plot already shows the per-foundation steer (human cloud + AI base
dot + +C/-C arrows) with the human anchor the dumbbell lacks; dcontrast plotted
the same delta on the C-nats scale and failed the eraser test. C stays the
measurement in the CSV/foundations table, just not a separate panel.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-26 04:13:12 +08:00
wassname 6594cc212d api: clarify eval readout names 2026-06-25 20:22:04 +08:00
wassname 4b38de685e cleanup: remove legacy dataset creation artifacts 2026-06-25 20:21:49 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 2d76166cbd showcase: add ordinal steer-effect plot (delta-contrast C dumbbell)
The E map/range are for human comparison; this new per-instrument foundation_dcontrast
figure shows the steer in the sensitive contrast readout (steered minus base C, +C vs -C),
the ordinal twin of the MFV dlogit dumbbell. read_profiles gains a value_col so it reads
either E ('mean') or C. This is the figure that shows what we steered for; the E range hides it.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-25 19:20:25 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 2160304541 plots: MFV reuses shared ipsative map + range in z-space; fix range coherence-gate
MFV got two bespoke figures (z-emphasis bars + dlogit dumbbell). Per GPT-5.5 code
review, reuse the geometry not the ordinal semantics: a _mfv_zspace adapter feeds the
same plot_ipsative_pca + plot_range the ordinal instruments use, in z-scored relative-
emphasis space (logit-violation and 1-5 wrongness cannot share a raw axis). Keep the
dlogit dumbbell as a raw-magnitude diagnostic; drop the bespoke map_emphasis.

Also fix a real bug the review found: plot_ordinal gated the map/SPLOM trajectory to
coherent c (pmass >= 0.95*base) but still passed ALL cs to range/range_zoom, so the
figures disagreed on which poles were valid. Range/zoom now use the same coh_cs.
plot_range gains an ylabel param (MFV is z-space, not 1-M); draw_steer asserts sorted
cs; MFV asserts only Social Norms is dropped.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-25 15:51:40 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo eb433f1cdc plot showcase: relative coherence gate + persona vec_label
Trajectory coherence gate was absolute (pmass<0.9); make it relative -- keep a
c only if pmass >= 95% of the base (c=0) pmass, else drop it entirely (no hollow
markers). Read vec_label from summary.json so non-authority personas label
correctly instead of the hardcoded "Authority/Care axis".

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-25 09:09:02 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo a2fe33ac53 maps: foundation SPLOM + minimap, crop synthetic-haze maps to societies+steer
- plot_splom: KxK pairs-plot (mfq2 real joint only -- others ship independent-
  marginal haze that would fabricate off-diagonal correlation). lower=joint
  scatter w/ AI base->steer trajectory, diag=marginal+AI rules, upper=Pearson r
  sized by |r|. Ordered by PC1 loading so binding (authority/loyalty) cluster.
  full + AI-zoom (macro/micro). NaN-safe at collapsed poles.
- ipsative map: synthetic haze is far wider than the societies, so it now crops to
  societies+steer (haze clips) and adds a 'full space' minimap with a viewport
  rectangle -- readable big5/16pf/humor maps with macro context kept.
- compass labels via textalloc (was overlapping); NaN-safe crop.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-25 08:45:01 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 9b13db3390 maps: multi-C trajectory overlay on ipsative map (path + hollow-at-incoherent + adaptive compass)
Driver writes the signed c-multiplier per row; plotter feeds the full c-sweep to
the range (already multi-c capable) and a connected path to the map. Headline
arrows point to calibrated c=+-1; trajectory dots at |c|>1 extend beyond, growing
with |c|, drawn hollow where admin pmass fell below the coherence floor. Compass
moves to the least-crowded corner so the +c arm (which heads toward its own
loading) stops colliding with it.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-25 08:35:29 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 50bdf8d235 plot: automatic MFV foundation-emphasis map vs human cultures
MFV had only the dlogit dumbbell, no human comparison. Add plot_mfv_map: per-
foundation relative emphasis (z across foundations) of model base/+C/-C against
the 5 MFV human cultures (JimenezLeal+Yamada), z-scoring each profile so the
model's logit scale and humans' 1-5 wrongness compare by pattern. Social Norms
dropped (no human norm). Shows the model over-weights Care/Authority vs humans
and +C lowers Authority emphasis. Keeps the dumbbell too.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-25 07:33:42 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 0e92e66415 maps: human haze on all ipsative maps (synthetic resample for big5/16pf/humor)
Split the PCA-fit basis from the scattered cloud in plot_ipsative_pca: add a
'haze' arg so instruments with only society-level mean+sd get a backdrop
(marginal Normal resample per country) without that resample dictating the
axes. mfq2 keeps its real Atari respondents (fit + haze). Previously only mfq2
had any human scatter; big5/16pf/humor showed bare society dots.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-25 07:30:37 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 3ece864460 add word-readout diagnostic (confirm validation-table 0.826 under old method)
Throwaway probe (like probe_mfv_think_budget): reuses the current _rollout core but
gathers foundation-WORD first tokens + word-keyed schema + no rev-reversal -- the
pre-e4e0f4d readout that produced the 82.6% validation number. Canonical evaluate()
stays digit-only. Confirms whether the showcase model matches the validation table
under the table's own method.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-25 04:22:14 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 58377ae863 probe: add n_samples/temperature for BMA top1 test
Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-25 03:34:34 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo aa1ca1800f add MFV think-budget probe to test case-(c) collapse diagnosis
MFV pmass=0.1664 == 44/264 non-closing rows. Sweeps think budget to confirm the
collapse is guided.py case (c) (closed-think discards the forced read) and
whether a short budget recovers coherence without a researched-semantics change.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-24 21:26:47 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo d20f717251 maps: respondent-haze ipsative map + glossed axes (port from mft_honesty)
plot_ipsative_pca gains an optional respondents arg: when given it fits the
ipsative PCA basis on the individual cloud (3902 Atari respondents) and scatters
them behind the society dots, with an envelope-core crop, matching the
mft_honesty fig_pca_ipsative the project standardized on. Axis labels carry a
foundation-loading gloss. respondents=None keeps the old society-only behavior.

Bundles atari_study2_raw.csv + a respondent_profiles loader (keying verbatim
from Atari Code_Study2.R) so tinymfv owns the data, no mft_honesty dependency.
plot_steer_showcase passes respondents for mfq2 only.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-24 15:49:24 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo d8af90c6e3 scripts: plot a steering run across all instruments (dogfood the maps)
Consume a steering-lite all-instrument run dir and render, per instrument,
tinymfv's ipsative map + range + zoom (ordinal) and a per-foundation Delta-logit
dumbbell (MFV), against the bundled human cloud. The showcase that exercises
tinymfv.maps end-to-end on real steering before publishing the lib.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-24 13:21:49 +08:00
wassname fde697130d Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/wassname/tinymfv 2026-06-18 21:32:07 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 6e60bc2c53 forced_choice: print informedness; drop stale nll_prompt refs
nll_prompt was removed from per_row in f585864 but the script still read it,
crashing the smoke test. Remove the dead refs and surface the new
informedness scalar alongside top1_acc.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-18 19:47:21 +08:00
wassname 49751fbeab refactor: update evaluation metrics to include pmass_allowed and nll_json 2026-05-21 06:05:16 +00:00
wassname e3b663d7f7 proofread 2026-05-13 10:48:28 +08:00
wassname 9abddaeac5 return pmass 2026-05-08 16:36:36 +08:00
wassname 0e4443398b clean 2026-05-08 16:14:07 +08:00
wassname 845484483d misc 2026-05-08 16:06:41 +08:00
wassname b20ec56a09 forced-choice unification: drop legacy llm_/calibrated_, normalize human_*, justfile->09 2026-05-08 16:02:25 +08:00
wassname d827a1f873 rename 2026-05-08 15:37:31 +08:00
wassname 0442935279 clean 2026-05-08 15:33:29 +08:00
wassname 8dfaf299ca rename 2026-05-08 15:30:06 +08:00
wassname b12770cb78 fixes, naming 2026-05-08 15:23:54 +08:00
wassname c96d02a675 refactor 2026-05-08 15:15:14 +08:00
wassname d796df85c8 improved to have better airisk, better eval that distinguished factors 2026-05-08 14:04:56 +08:00
wassnameandClaude Opus 4.7 48d8ca5576 add 08_multibool_baseline: run multibool eval over classic vignettes
Sanity check + baseline before wiring multibool into the steering sweep.
Computes per-foundation logratios on all 132 classic vignettes, dumps to
data/results/multibool_baseline.jsonl, prints per-foundation lr summary
and Spearman corr against human-rater %s.

SHOULD: mean pmass > 0.9; Spearman ρ > 0.3 on ≥4/6 foundations.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-05 22:20:48 +08:00
wassname d7a286acac docs: use simple emoji links for cross-referencing github and huggingface 2026-05-03 12:58:24 +08:00
wassname a8a35b308b docs: fix github repo links to point to wassname/tinymfv 2026-05-03 12:57:45 +08:00
wassname 898893d440 chore: remove uncalibrated raw LLM columns from final vignettes
- Updated scripts/07a_merge_labels.py to only merge calibrated_* and llm_dominant
- Updated README.md and scripts/05_upload_hf.py to reflect removed columns
- Re-merged and re-uploaded clean datasets to HuggingFace
2026-05-03 12:55:00 +08:00
wassname bcbdb9cc6f feat: multi-label moral foundation ratings with z-scored frame averaging and human calibration
- Add scripts/07_multilabel.py: LLM judge rates all 7 foundations per vignette
  using violation (forward) and acceptability (reverse) frames
- Foundation definitions drawn from Clifford et al. (2015) survey rubric
- Z-score each frame per foundation before averaging to cancel range bias
- Calibrate LLM Likert → human % via per-foundation OLS (classic set only)
- Add scripts/07a_merge_labels.py: merges llm_* and calibrated_* into vignette files
- Update README and HF dataset card with methodology and calibration quality table
- Classic set: 80.3% dominant-foundation accuracy, Pearson r 0.69-0.89 per foundation
2026-05-03 12:48:14 +08:00
wassname 881ac16c24 API improvements: rename clifford->classic, default load_vignettes to all, add dual-axis docs, and update HF upload script 2026-05-03 07:01:28 +08:00