Commit Graph
6 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
wassnameandClaude d840ebe406 Report the Qwen3-14B honesty sweep as inconclusive
Pool three read seeds, compare every coherent dose with 20 random directions,
and preserve the raw lp_gather artifacts and full run log. Several isolated WVS
doses exceed matched random displacement, but no method exceeds the held-out
honesty random p95 and VJP's source-axis cosine is -0.021.

The final map shows random controls as a cloud, retains failed-coherence doses
as faint points, and states the failed honesty-specific gate on the figure.

Co-Authored-By: Claude <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-09-18 21:41:07 +08:00
wassnameandClaude 92f25093eb Select Qwen3-14B from measured answer-slot readability
At the 64-token resample, Qwen3-14B retained mean/min answer-token mass
0.987/0.948. Qwen3-8B collapsed to 0.567/0.009 and Qwen3-4B was smaller.
Record the evidence and retain the WVS source label on the revised figure.

Co-Authored-By: Claude <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-09-18 21:13:18 +08:00
wassnameandClaude 6e9341abde Compare pooled steer paths with matched-dose random controls
The result table now reports each coherent movement against the 95th percentile
of random directions at the same signed dose, and reports whether each method's
held-out honesty effect exceeds random. Allow one Modal launch to add many
random-only seeds without repeating real method extraction.

Co-Authored-By: Claude <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-09-18 21:12:00 +08:00
wassnameandClaude c3ccf7bfb4 Pool read seeds and keep failed-coherence doses visible on the map
Draw one pooled path per real method instead of treating read seeds as distinct
interventions. Random directions remain separate controls. Doses below the
absolute pmass 0.90 gate are hollow and faint rather than silently removed;
only valid doses enter the result table and confidence intervals.

Co-Authored-By: Claude <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-09-18 21:08:46 +08:00
wassnameandClaude b4481f481a Pair the steer CI against base, save the answer primitive, add a manipulation check
The absolute WVS coordinate carries +-0.07 of item-set variance on a 12-item
battery, so the steer is now reported as a paired difference on the same items.
Per-dose psamples are saved, so every interval is post-processing.

The manipulation check exists because a flat map cannot be read on its own: a
vector that does nothing and a vector that culture does not respond to look the
same. Qwen3-0.6B: per-item changes are large (sd 0.18-0.38) but their signs are
coin flips (7/12 up), and random behaves the same.

Co-Authored-By: Claude <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-09-18 19:53:40 +08:00
wassnameandClaude 3cd62abf2a Plot honesty steer paths on the culture map, colours off the zone palette
Co-Authored-By: Claude <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-09-18 19:13:37 +08:00