scrape_r_rational/data/cache2/9fai2m.md

A modest (epistemology) proposal

• Author: u/SimoneNonvelodico Dai-Gurren Brigade*

• URL: https://www.reddit.com/r/rational/comments/9fai2m/a_modest_epistemology_proposal/

• Score: 22

• Created: 2018-09-12T18:48:14

Post:

So, I'm currently reading Eli's Inadequate Equilibria (thanks to /u/FeepingCreature who let me know about it during a discussion) and the definition of "modest epistemology" that he presents in chapter 6 intrigued me, so much so that I jotted down a mathematical model of a very simple case of it, which gives some interesting results - mostly about asymmetries in judgement between groups with different epistemologies which result from the meta effect of trying to assess failure rates, and about the existence of non-trivial states where these asymmetries cease to exist and in fact there's just no way to tell who's right (even if someone definitely is). Here's the small "paper" on it I just wrote:

http://docdro.id/UTxKUjk

It's the work of basically half an hour at most, so obviously it's not exactly a masterpiece of rigour, but I thought it'd be fun to discuss, at least.

Comments:

u/Roey2009 [+2] (an hour later)

Good work on the paper. Looks interesting.

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