mirror of
https://github.com/wassname/anz-2040-draft.git
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143 lines
12 KiB
XML
143 lines
12 KiB
XML
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<rect width="560" height="1272" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="280" y="82" text-anchor="middle" font-size="28" font-weight="bold" fill="#111">Choose a path</text>
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<path d="M145,150 C145,180 280,180 280,209" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="13.0"/>
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<path d="M426,150 C426,180 280,180 280,209" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="13.0"/>
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<path d="M280,265 C280,294 157,294 157,324" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="2.6"/>
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<path d="M280,265 C280,294 381,294 381,324" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="23.4"/>
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<path d="M381,380 C381,410 179,410 179,439" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="13.0"/>
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<path d="M381,380 C381,410 377,410 377,439" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="10.4"/>
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<path d="M377,495 C377,524 146,524 146,554" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="6.2"/>
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<path d="M377,495 C377,524 406,524 406,554" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.3"/>
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<path d="M377,495 C377,582 161,582 161,669" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="2.9"/>
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<path d="M406,610 C406,640 410,640 410,669" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.3"/>
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<path d="M161,725 C161,754 403,754 403,784" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="2.1"/>
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<path d="M161,725 C161,754 168,754 168,784" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.0" stroke-dasharray="5 5"/>
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<path d="M403,840 C403,870 410,870 410,899" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.0"/>
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<path d="M403,840 C403,927 377,927 377,1014" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.0"/>
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<path d="M168,840 C168,870 165,870 165,899" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.0"/>
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<path d="M168,840 C168,927 161,927 161,1014" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.0"/>
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<path d="M377,1070 C377,1100 179,1100 179,1129" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.0"/>
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<path d="M377,1070 C377,1100 410,1100 410,1129" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.0"/>
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<rect x="194" y="280" width="50" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="219" y="292" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">stalls</text>
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<rect x="289" y="280" width="83" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="330" y="292" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">race / deal</text>
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<rect x="235" y="396" width="89" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="280" y="408" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">control lost</text>
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<rect x="334" y="396" width="89" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="379" y="408" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">control kept</text>
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<rect x="214" y="510" width="96" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="262" y="522" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">seized abroad</text>
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<rect x="340" y="510" width="102" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="392" y="522" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">seized at home</text>
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<rect x="248" y="533" width="129" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="312" y="545" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">power stays spread</text>
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<rect x="354" y="626" width="109" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="408" y="638" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">no public stake</text>
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<rect x="234" y="740" width="96" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="282" y="752" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">set our price</text>
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<rect x="378" y="856" width="56" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="406" y="868" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">host it</text>
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<rect x="347" y="878" width="96" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="395" y="890" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">stay supplier</text>
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<rect x="138" y="856" width="56" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="167" y="868" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">concert</text>
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<rect x="138" y="878" width="56" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="166" y="890" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">US bloc</text>
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<rect x="234" y="1086" width="89" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="278" y="1098" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">public stake</text>
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<rect x="362" y="1086" width="63" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="393" y="1098" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">no stake</text>
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<a href="#1-prepare-before-it-looks-urgent-2026-28"><title>1. Prepare early — 2026-28: royalties, biosecurity, allies</title>
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<rect x="21" y="94" width="248" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#38761d" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="145" y="119" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">1. Prepare early</text>
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<text x="145" y="135" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">2026-28: royalties, biosecurity, allies</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#2-train-the-people-the-treaty-needs-2026-29"><title>2. Build the people — 2026-29: safety testers, inspectors</title>
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<rect x="313" y="94" width="226" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#38761d" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="426" y="119" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">2. Build the people</text>
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<text x="426" y="135" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">2026-29: safety testers, inspectors</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#what-australia-and-new-zealand-can-do"><title>2029: the US chooses — go-slow deal with China, or race?</title>
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<rect x="173" y="209" width="214" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#888888" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="280" y="234" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">2029: the US chooses</text>
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<text x="280" y="250" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">go-slow deal with China, or race?</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#vii-boring-decade-about-10"><title>VII. Boring decade — ~10%</title>
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<rect x="79" y="324" width="157" height="56" rx="22" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#3d85c6" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="157" y="349" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">VII. Boring decade</text>
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<text x="157" y="365" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">~10%</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#i-doom-about-50"><title>RISK: AI escapes control — ~75% racing, ~25% in the deal</title>
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<rect x="280" y="324" width="201" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#990000" stroke-width="3.6"/>
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<text x="381" y="349" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">RISK: AI escapes control</text>
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<text x="381" y="365" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">~75% racing, ~25% in the deal</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#i-doom-about-50"><title>I. Doom — ~50%</title>
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<rect x="104" y="439" width="150" height="56" rx="22" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#3d85c6" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="179" y="464" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">I. Doom</text>
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<text x="179" y="480" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">~50%</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#ii-someone-elses-empire-about-25"><title>RISK: power seized — one actor holds the AI</title>
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<rect x="298" y="439" width="157" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#990000" stroke-width="3.6"/>
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<text x="377" y="464" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">RISK: power seized</text>
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<text x="377" y="480" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">one actor holds the AI</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#ii-someone-elses-empire-about-25"><title>II. Someone else's empire — ~25% — seized abroad</title>
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<rect x="42" y="554" width="208" height="56" rx="22" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#3d85c6" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="146" y="579" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">II. Someone else's empire</text>
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<text x="146" y="595" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">~25% — seized abroad</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#ix-homegrown-autocracy-free-beer-and-rugby-for-life"><title>RISK: power grabbed at home — seized in our own country</title>
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<rect x="295" y="554" width="223" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#990000" stroke-width="3.6"/>
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<text x="406" y="579" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">RISK: power grabbed at home</text>
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<text x="406" y="595" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">seized in our own country</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#3-ask-for-terms-before-signing-2029"><title>3. Sign, or set our price? — the deal reaches us, 2029</title>
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<rect x="53" y="669" width="216" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#b8860b" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="161" y="694" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">3. Sign, or set our price?</text>
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<text x="161" y="710" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">the deal reaches us, 2029</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#ix-homegrown-autocracy-free-beer-and-rugby-for-life"><title>IX. Homegrown autocracy — citizens stop being needed</title>
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<rect x="313" y="669" width="194" height="56" rx="22" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#3d85c6" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="410" y="694" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">IX. Homegrown autocracy</text>
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<text x="410" y="710" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">citizens stop being needed</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#6-choose-a-side-if-the-deal-collapses-2030s"><title>6. If the deal collapses — US bloc, concert, or neutral?</title>
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<rect x="68" y="784" width="201" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#b8860b" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="168" y="809" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">6. If the deal collapses</text>
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<text x="168" y="825" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">US bloc, concert, or neutral?</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#4-host-allied-compute-2030-32"><title>4. Host compute here? — 2030-32</title>
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<rect x="313" y="784" width="179" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#b8860b" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="403" y="809" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">4. Host compute here?</text>
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<text x="403" y="825" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">2030-32</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#viii-middle-power-concert"><title>VIII. Middle-power concert</title>
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<rect x="57" y="899" width="216" height="56" rx="22" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#3d85c6" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="165" y="931" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">VIII. Middle-power concert</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#v-allied-compute-host"><title>V. Allied compute host</title>
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<rect x="317" y="899" width="187" height="56" rx="22" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#3d85c6" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="410" y="931" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">V. Allied compute host</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#vi-garrison-ally"><title>VI. Garrison ally</title>
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<rect x="86" y="1014" width="150" height="56" rx="22" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#3d85c6" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="161" y="1046" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">VI. Garrison ally</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#5-keep-a-public-stake-in-the-machine-economy-2031-34"><title>5. Tax it, own a share? — 2031-34</title>
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<rect x="280" y="1014" width="194" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#b8860b" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="377" y="1039" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">5. Tax it, own a share?</text>
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<text x="377" y="1055" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">2031-34</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#iii-dividend-commonwealth"><title>III. Dividend commonwealth</title>
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<rect x="71" y="1129" width="216" height="56" rx="22" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#3d85c6" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="179" y="1161" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">III. Dividend commonwealth</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#iv-quarry-economy"><title>IV. Quarry economy — drift default</title>
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<rect x="331" y="1129" width="157" height="56" rx="22" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#3d85c6" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="410" y="1154" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">IV. Quarry economy</text>
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<text x="410" y="1170" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">drift default</text>
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</a>
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