DOC: added portfolio_optimization to documented examples

This commit is contained in:
Victor Grau Serrat
2017-11-29 09:37:46 -07:00
parent 55a9d76b9b
commit c8eaa11f80
+152
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@@ -31,6 +31,13 @@ Overview
`two-part video tutorial <videos.html#backtesting-a-strategy>`_ to show how
to get started in backtesting and live trading with Catalyst.
- :ref:`Portfolio Optimization <portfolio_optimization>`: Use this code to
execute a portfolio optimization model. This strategy will select the
portfolio with the maximum Sharpe Ratio. The parameters are set to use 180
days of historical data and rebalance every 30 days. This code was used in
writting the following article:
`Markowitz Portfolio Optimization for Cryptocurrencies <https://blog.enigma.co/markowitz-portfolio-optimization-for-cryptocurrencies-in-catalyst-b23c38652556>`_.
.. _buy_btc_simple:
@@ -746,4 +753,149 @@ implemented after the video was recorded, which executes the orders at slighlty
different prices, but resulting in significant changes in performance of our
strategy.
.. _portfolio_optimization:
Portfolio Optimization
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Use this code to execute a portfolio optimization model. This strategy will
select the portfolio with the maximum Sharpe Ratio. The parameters are set to
use 180 days of historical data and rebalance every 30 days. This code was used
in writting the following article:
`Markowitz Portfolio Optimization for Cryptocurrencies <https://blog.enigma.co/markowitz-portfolio-optimization-for-cryptocurrencies-in-catalyst-b23c38652556>`_.
.. code-block:: python
'''
You can run this code using the Python interpreter:
$ python portfolio_optimization.py
'''
from __future__ import division
import os
import pytz
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from scipy.optimize import minimize
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from datetime import datetime
from catalyst.api import record, symbol, symbols, order_target_percent
from catalyst.utils.run_algo import run_algorithm
np.set_printoptions(threshold='nan', suppress=True)
def initialize(context):
# Portfolio assets list
context.assets = symbols('btc_usdt', 'eth_usdt', 'ltc_usdt', 'dash_usdt',
'xmr_usdt')
context.nassets = len(context.assets)
# Set the time window that will be used to compute expected return
# and asset correlations
context.window = 180
# Set the number of days between each portfolio rebalancing
context.rebalance_period = 30
context.i = 0
def handle_data(context, data):
# Only rebalance at the beggining of the algorithm execution and
# every multiple of the rebalance period
if context.i == 0 or context.i%context.rebalance_period == 0:
n = context.window
prices = data.history(context.assets, fields='price',
bar_count=n+1, frequency='1d')
pr = np.asmatrix(prices)
t_prices = prices.iloc[1:n+1]
t_val = t_prices.values
tminus_prices = prices.iloc[0:n]
tminus_val = tminus_prices.values
# Compute daily returns (r)
r = np.asmatrix(t_val/tminus_val-1)
# Compute the expected returns of each asset with the average
# daily return for the selected time window
m = np.asmatrix(np.mean(r, axis=0))
# ###
stds = np.std(r, axis=0)
# Compute excess returns matrix (xr)
xr = r - m
# Matrix algebra to get variance-covariance matrix
cov_m = np.dot(np.transpose(xr),xr)/n
# Compute asset correlation matrix (informative only)
corr_m = cov_m/np.dot(np.transpose(stds),stds)
# Define portfolio optimization parameters
n_portfolios = 50000
results_array = np.zeros((3+context.nassets,n_portfolios))
for p in xrange(n_portfolios):
weights = np.random.random(context.nassets)
weights /= np.sum(weights)
w = np.asmatrix(weights)
p_r = np.sum(np.dot(w,np.transpose(m)))*365
p_std = np.sqrt(np.dot(np.dot(w,cov_m),np.transpose(w)))*np.sqrt(365)
#store results in results array
results_array[0,p] = p_r
results_array[1,p] = p_std
#store Sharpe Ratio (return / volatility) - risk free rate element
#excluded for simplicity
results_array[2,p] = results_array[0,p] / results_array[1,p]
i = 0
for iw in weights:
results_array[3+i,p] = weights[i]
i += 1
#convert results array to Pandas DataFrame
results_frame = pd.DataFrame(np.transpose(results_array),
columns=['r','stdev','sharpe']+context.assets)
#locate position of portfolio with highest Sharpe Ratio
max_sharpe_port = results_frame.iloc[results_frame['sharpe'].idxmax()]
#locate positon of portfolio with minimum standard deviation
min_vol_port = results_frame.iloc[results_frame['stdev'].idxmin()]
#order optimal weights for each asset
for asset in context.assets:
if data.can_trade(asset):
order_target_percent(asset, max_sharpe_port[asset])
#create scatter plot coloured by Sharpe Ratio
plt.scatter(results_frame.stdev,results_frame.r,c=results_frame.sharpe,cmap='RdYlGn')
plt.xlabel('Volatility')
plt.ylabel('Returns')
plt.colorbar()
#plot red star to highlight position of portfolio with highest Sharpe Ratio
plt.scatter(max_sharpe_port[1],max_sharpe_port[0],marker='o',color='b',s=200)
#plot green star to highlight position of minimum variance portfolio
plt.show()
print(max_sharpe_port)
record(pr=pr,r=r, m=m, stds=stds ,max_sharpe_port=max_sharpe_port, corr_m=corr_m)
context.i += 1
def analyze(context=None, results=None):
# Form DataFrame with selected data
data = results[['pr','r','m','stds','max_sharpe_port','corr_m','portfolio_value']]
# Save results in CSV file
filename = os.path.splitext(os.path.basename(__file__))[0]
data.to_csv(filename + '.csv')
# Bitcoin data is available from 2015-3-2. Dates vary for other tokens.
start = datetime(2017, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, pytz.utc)
end = datetime(2017, 8, 16, 0, 0, 0, 0, pytz.utc)
results = run_algorithm(initialize=initialize,
handle_data=handle_data,
analyze=analyze,
start=start,
end=end,
exchange_name='poloniex',
capital_base=100000, )
.. image:: https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/1600/0*EjjiKZHlYF3sn7yQ.
:align: center