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readme: drop the run-by-run pairing, it was not a real pairing
The run index is a cache key, not a seed, so subtracting run 3 from run 3 is arbitrary. Unpaired the difference is +0.023 +- 0.044; by question +0.023 +- 0.031. Still not pushed. Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
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@@ -27,20 +27,18 @@ model this SKILL.md and nothing else, so the only change is the document.
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No measurable gain, from three answers per question in each arm:
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| deepseek-v4-flash-0731, 12 questions | bare | with SKILL.md | change |
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| --- | --- | --- | --- |
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| first answer | +0.608 | +0.746 | +0.137 |
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| second answer | +0.648 | +0.641 | -0.007 |
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| third answer | +0.674 | +0.614 | -0.060 |
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| mean | +0.643 | +0.667 | +0.023, sd 0.102 |
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| deepseek-v4-flash-0731, 12 questions | bare | with SKILL.md |
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| --- | --- | --- |
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| mean score | +0.643 | +0.667 |
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| the three runs | +0.608, +0.648, +0.674 | +0.746, +0.641, +0.614 |
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The same model answering the same question again moves its score by about this much, so +0.023 is
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not distinguishable from zero. Pairing by question rather than by answer gives the same +0.023, with
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a standard error of 0.031 over the 12 questions.
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The difference is +0.023 with a standard error of 0.044, so it is not distinguishable from zero.
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Pairing by question rather than by run gives the same +0.023 with a standard error of 0.031, t of
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0.76. The runs themselves scatter by more than the difference between the two columns.
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An earlier version of this section reported +0.135, or 59% of the distance to gpt-5.6-sol. That
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number was one answer per arm, and it is the first row of the table above. It did not survive the
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other two answers.
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An earlier version of this section reported +0.135, or 59% of the distance to gpt-5.6-sol. That was
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one run of each arm, and it happens to be the first run in each column above. It did not survive the
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other two.
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Two other readings. With SKILL.md the model writes 31% more text for the same score, so any
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verbosity bias in the judges makes the true effect smaller than +0.023, not larger. And only 1 answer
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