Commit Graph
107 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
wassname 6c50496122 add missing cache headers, warn on the unverified judge entries
The two README caches had no Source line, so nothing could re-verify them;
both now check at 99% coverage. The judge-bias file gets a warning at the top:
11 entries still carry summarizer numbers, and 2 of the 5 checked so far were
wrong.
2026-08-15 06:23:54 +08:00
wassname 54dcd832b8 drop line-number anchors from cache citations
102 of them, 48 already wrong after today's refetches. They rot every time a
cache is refetched and buy nothing the quote text does not: the caches are
verbatim, so the quote itself is the anchor. Descriptive labels stay.
2026-08-15 06:23:31 +08:00
wassname ceba01782b replace four invented nanochat quotes with Karpathy's own words
All four came from the AI-generated deepwiki page, not the experiment log,
and one inverted the finding: the log says clipping was removed because
'Grad norm never exceeds 1.0 naturally', and the real distributed gotcha was
clipping local norms before sync. Footnote now points at dev/LOG.md on master
and at the renamed cache.
2026-08-15 06:22:53 +08:00
wassname 55726b56bd delete the spinning-up notes file, fix its last reference
Follow-up to the previous commit, which failed to remove the file because it
still had the abs -> pdf edit staged.
2026-08-15 06:21:49 +08:00
wassname 60ed9df651 drop the derived spinning-up notes, full-text the nanda draft
The notes file listed 11 links; 9 are already in the full page cache and the
80k Hours one has its own cache, so it only carried Rocktaschel, now in the
research_taste reading list. The Nanda shared draft was a 902-word excerpt of
a local download; wassname supplied the Google Doc, whose text export gives
the full 11318 words.
2026-08-15 06:21:37 +08:00
wassname a6c8ba77d2 cite arxiv pdf, never abs
An /abs/ link is a stub: it costs a second lookup before anyone can check the
quote, and it is what let abstract-only caches look sourced. 77 links across
the skill files and 4 cache headers. Verbatim source bodies untouched, their
reference lists are the authors' text.
2026-08-15 06:14:10 +08:00
wassname 2565f203e4 add evidence full-text verifier
Refetches the URL in a cache file's header and measures 5-word shingle
coverage of the source, so a summary cannot pass as a copy. Guards against
stub sources, where high coverage of an abstract or landing page would
otherwise read as success. n=5 chosen by sweeping n against synthetic
copy/paraphrase/summary variants.
2026-08-15 06:07:11 +08:00
wassname 383265c60c evidence: full text for nine LessWrong and research-blog caches
All nine said 'excerpted from HTML via browser' and held 141-684 words.
LessWrong posts refetched through the markdown API, the rest through jina.
All 99 previously quoted passages, and the 46 quotes SKILL.md and
refs/research_taste.md take from them, verify against the new full texts.
2026-08-15 06:07:11 +08:00
wassname 7fec3c557d evidence: full text for nine blog and essay caches
Every one was 3x to 100x shorter than its source: gwern_tank 179 -> 20132
words, cleanrl 37-details 239 -> 11410, kidger 185 -> 2932. Three passages the
old karpathy_recipe file presented inside quote marks were paraphrases, not
quotes, and are gone with the excerpts.
2026-08-15 06:07:11 +08:00
wassname 776ccf7047 evidence: full text for tuning playbook, ml yearning, bekman, spinning up, qwen3
All were excerpt caches. Tuning playbook 662 -> 16216 words, ML Yearning
527 -> 26084 (the whole book, was ch13-19), bekman 579 -> 2357 (three
concatenated pages), Spinning Up 842 -> 3353. The Qwen3 report was truncated
mid-section 4.3 and now runs to the appendix.
2026-08-15 06:07:11 +08:00
wassname d68ff6477a evidence: full nanochat experiment log, not a deepwiki synthesis
Was 1179 words summarised from AI-generated deepwiki pages, accessed 2026-03.
Now the 9232-word primary dev/LOG.md, which also runs 2 months further.
Renamed since the source is the log, not deepwiki.
2026-08-15 06:07:11 +08:00
wassname b1087b8efd llm_judges: verify the five abstract-quoted papers against raw PDF
NoLiMa effective length was wrong in both files: most models fall below the
85% threshold at 1-4K tokens, not 8-16K (only GPT-4o 8K, GPT-4.1 16K). NoLiMa
32K count was 11 models, not 10. The Loo quote's first sentence was stitched
from two places and is dropped. JudgeLRM's 8.14% is an Introduction number,
not an abstract one, and the abstract quote had lost /14B and its trailing
clause. Shi et al is 'The findings', not 'Our findings'. Body quotes now
replace abstract quotes where the number matters; tags [ID] -> [FT].
2026-08-14 21:16:13 +08:00
wassname ffcc94df00 evidence: full text for sculley 2015, lones 2021, domingos 2012
These three held hand-transcribed excerpts (381 / 914 / 573 words) with a
header claiming extraction was too hard. It was not: jina reads the sculley
and lones PDFs, and plain pdftotext (no -layout) reads all 3 columns of the
domingos CACM PDF in order. Now 5736 / 15285 / 8180 words.
2026-08-14 21:13:11 +08:00
wassname 701a09a525 pinn: correct claims that were written from abstracts only
Checked every 2001.04536 / 2402.01868 citation against the full texts now in
docs/evidence. Two quotation-marked sentences were not in the papers; the
Helmholtz 49x figure does not exist and the 64x Klein-Gordon one belongs to
architecture+annealing, not architecture alone; the Wang 1e5 Hessian number is
a max eigenvalue, not a max/min ratio. Section, table and figure pointers fixed.
2026-08-14 20:56:44 +08:00
wassname b70dcfa2b1 pinn evidence: replace abstract-only stubs with full paper text
wang2021 (2001.04536) and rathore2024 (2402.01868) held only the arXiv
abstract plus an assistant summary; fetched full text via jina.
2026-08-14 20:51:56 +08:00
wassname 3a8839b7d7 make judge setup repair a checklist 2026-08-14 15:42:47 +08:00
wassname cb7d597962 generalize judge setup repair guidance 2026-08-14 14:54:56 +08:00
wassname ad8c981504 teach judge audits to repair setup confusion 2026-08-14 14:41:38 +08:00
wassname 8b6d1b59e0 pi-vent as a friction-channel reference
Two details worth copying into a judge harness: scope the channel to systemic friction
and rule out one-off noise explicitly, and batch the entry at the end of the turn so
venting does not interleave with the work. -- Claude
2026-08-13 19:07:16 +08:00
wassname 2ffa93439c llm_judges: rubric-point judging section from 16 audit rounds of wassname-ml-bench 2026-08-13 16:15:31 +08:00
wassname 996942c4de Make ML debugging expose evidence and uncertainty 2026-08-09 11:11:02 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 4e45bd4140 DPO can barely move: tinker's own reference run reports 0.52 pair accuracy
Contrast with the cookbook's RLHF pipeline (46% -> 94% win rate in 100 steps),
so a decreasing DPO loss is weak evidence of behaviour change.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-08-08 10:04:32 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo b5a70354a4 Judgemark: add the cheap-tier rows and date the snapshot
DeepSeek-V4-Flash is 0.368 (rank 28/36) at 0.78 while gemma-4-31b is 0.723 at
0.82, so the cheap judge slot is not where you would guess. Note that -latest
aliases have no row of their own.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-08-06 08:24:01 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 602f6193ed assume every negative result is a bug until the logs rule it out; be patient
Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-28 17:14:05 +08:00
wassname c7f22b8478 Add deployment-faithful time-series evaluation guide 2026-07-26 10:31:15 +08:00
wassname a9b154fc6d add FPP3 (Hyndman & Athanasopoulos) scraped to markdown, 13 chapters + appendices 2026-07-26 10:21:48 +08:00
wassname 4fcea49ebb Show explicit pandas failure-score aggregation 2026-07-26 09:48:31 +08:00
wassname 0cc01db100 Clarify NaN selection bias in judge comparisons 2026-07-26 09:46:42 +08:00
wassname 5dd18385bd Fail judge aggregation on missing paired scores 2026-07-26 09:42:18 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 2c009b85b6 llm_judges: add Petri judge-harness patterns (rubric in schema, tier anchors, resolvable citations, harness dimensions, scanner-as-scorer, fail-open anti-pattern)
Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-25 10:15:36 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 38ddb544d9 Make 'Numbers worth knowing' quote-anchored with source-credence + calibrated language
Each bullet now leads with the action, carries a verbatim quote + footnote, states
source type (independent benchmark / peer-reviewed / single-group preprint) so the
reader can weight it, and uses Kent-style estimative language on the takeaway.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-23 12:02:51 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 3f35addb7f Expand 'Numbers worth knowing' bullets with point + context for readability
Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-23 11:57:53 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 23d3331ee2 Fix two varglite nits: complete Lost-in-Middle quote, add context to config block
Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-23 11:48:50 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo f10151e661 Add varglite 2026 judge lit-review + operational-numbers digest
New refs/llm_judge_litreview.md: verbatim before/key/after quotes (fetched from
raw source this turn) for position/self-preference/reasoning/context-rot, a
machine-accessible benchmark table, and an epistemic summary with calibration.
llm_judges.md gets a compact 'Numbers worth knowing (2026)' digest pointing to it.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-23 11:46:12 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 3b7e82d402 Add 2026 lit-search batch to judge-bias evidence (position/self/reasoning/context-rot + benchmark index)
Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-23 09:19:06 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 2692ea8a4e Add reasoning-token budget guidance and LLM-as-judge survey
Add a per-model, per-difficulty token-budget note to judge-selection: models
vary ~6x in tokens/task (Artificial Analysis), reasoning models emit ~8x more
and scale with difficulty (Epoch AI, DeepSeek-R1), and the depth-vs-breadth
trade (cap reasoning low + N passes on easy tasks, which doubles as the
repeat-variance check; don't truncate near model capability). Add Gu et al.
"A Survey on LLM-as-a-Judge" as a second survey anchor. Cache new quotes.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-23 08:54:26 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 01db376bca Add real SpeechMap per-lab refusal index to judge-selection
Replace the qualitative refusal claim with SpeechMap's per-lab Free Speech
Index (Mistral/xAI/Google most permissive; Anthropic/OpenAI most restrictive
majors; Chinese labs mid-high on the aggregate but topic-censored). Flag the
two traps: it's a lab average (hides a safety-tuned Gemma) and a cross-topic
aggregate (hides a per-subject refusal cluster). Cache the table.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-22 16:16:42 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 54b8a2bb79 Add real Judgemark v4 frontier and evaluator-blind-spot papers
Replace the hand-waved judge-model guidance with the checked-in Judgemark v4
cost-vs-score frontier (opus-4-6 top, gemma-4-31b the cheap knee; Qwen/DeepSeek
are mid-pack not frontier, correcting the earlier claim). Quote Doddapaneni
(evaluators miss >50% of injected quality drops) and Shankar (criteria drift,
validators need validation). Cache both papers and the frontier table.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-22 16:12:46 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 0105153305 Add judge-validity checklist and model-selection to llm_judges ref
Fold wassname's repeated eval-validity checklist into refs/llm_judges.md:
rubric-earns-ink, read-the-whole-trace, anchoring/scale-precision, repeat
variance, and a judge feedback channel. Add a judge-model-selection section
(Judgemark v4 cost-vs-score frontier, speechmap topic-conditional refusals).
Cache the new sources (Hamel, Databricks x2, Eugene Yan) with verbatim quotes
and onward paper links in docs/evidence.

Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-07-22 16:09:18 +08:00
wassname 9d00a069c6 Require reading both sides of LLM evaluations 2026-07-18 14:41:59 +08:00
wassname cdab6cbbb9 Record ML debugging benchmark results 2026-07-13 06:11:08 +08:00
wassname a0fcfa291e Add blinded ML debugging benchmark harness 2026-07-12 22:18:26 +08:00
wassname 9774c4bb1d Record skill audit evidence 2026-07-12 22:01:36 +08:00
wassname 0be4323312 Add fail-fast skill audit 2026-07-12 22:00:49 +08:00
wassname fa534cf44e Correct overconfident debugging advice 2026-07-12 22:00:49 +08:00
wassname (Michael J Clark) e92ec01efe Enhance ML debugging guidance for LLM agents
Added guidance for LLM agents on reading and calibrating their confidence levels in ML debugging.
2026-06-26 09:52:43 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 5fca5ad2b2 Refresh Schulman cache anchors after transcript rewrite
Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-25 10:31:39 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo f8f512f603 Cite Irpan in research taste (signs-of-life, seed canary)
Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-25 10:31:39 +08:00
wassnameandClaudypoo 3fe6cb9ad9 Replace OCR-garbled Schulman cache with clean slide transcript
Co-Authored-By: Claudypoo <288921227+claudypoo@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-06-25 10:31:39 +08:00
wassname 67d4dc90bb Document quote-first evidence style 2026-06-25 10:31:39 +08:00