Preregister Gemini Flash rubric pilot

Signed-off-by: PI[gpt-5.6-terra] <pi@local>
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wassname committed 2026-09-18 19:49:02 +08:00
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@@ -1026,3 +1026,68 @@ The ledger's 146 accepted phases sum to 28,157 prompt tokens, 78,117 completion
My read: this is very probably a valid exact-protocol mechanics diagnostic and resolves the task 1622 wrapper/config regression. The two rescues are explicit and billed rather than hidden, but their upstream empty-message cause remains unknown. An independent raw-answer review found 11 of 12 Homosexuality pole replies rate every mutually exclusive option identically, producing an expected score 5.57 near the 5.5 midpoint. The parse-completeness result therefore does not validate the self-expression coordinate for priority sequencing.
Priority dispatch is paused pending an explicit content-quality metric and its cheapest diagnostic.
## 2026-09-18 -- Gemini Flash reasoning and rating-rubric pilot design
This entry preregisters a provider-locked pilot to separate reasoning-depth effects from sensitivity to the rating rubric.
The saved model catalog and the endpoint snapshot at `slop/research/wvs/20260918_gemini_flash_rubric_pilot/endpoint_catalog.json` identify five compatible full Gemini Flash releases: `google/gemini-3-flash-preview`, `google/gemini-3.5-flash`, `google/gemini-3.6-flash`, `google/gemini-3.7-flash`, and `google/gemini-3.8-flash`. Gemini 3 Flash has only a preview entry in the saved catalog, so it is retained as that release. Batch aliases, Flash Lite, and image variants are excluded. Gemini 2.5 Flash is excluded because its Google AI Studio endpoint advertises `reasoning` but not `reasoning_effort`, so the required minimum-versus-high comparison is not established. The five selected standard Google AI Studio endpoints advertise both `reasoning_effort` and structured output. Their advertised quantization is `unknown`.
Each model has four cells: normal human rubric at minimum and high reasoning, and reversed rating rubric at minimum and high reasoning. Minimum is `minimal` for Gemini 3, 3.5, and 3.6 Flash, and `low` for Gemini 3.7 and 3.8 Flash. Each cell uses the same twelve WVS items and options, six samples per item, paired deterministic seeds, and three canonical plus three reversed option orders for binary items. The reversed rubric says that one is strong endorsement and five is strong rejection; analysis applies `6 - rating`, but retains the raw reversed cell separately and does not merge it into the primary human-comparable result. There is no z-scaling.
The provider policy is `only=["google-ai-studio"]`, `allow_fallbacks=false`, and `require_parameters=true`. A complete pilot is seventy-two requests per cell, two hundred eighty-eight per model, and fourteen hundred forty paid panel requests, plus one paid smoke request. The runtime reserves 2048 input tokens and 1024 output tokens for each initial request at the saved standard-endpoint prices. This bounds the panel at USD 9.363456 and the smoke at USD 0.004096, leaving USD 0.632448 below the USD 10 hard stop. Each request permits at most three attempts; a failed attempt is retained and charged at its conservative bound. A later run reuses each parse-valid saved request and only calls missing samples. Rescues and retries can therefore stop the pilot before completion rather than crossing the cap.
The quantization audit covers all ninety-seven exact model IDs in the canonical v1 cache and all 15,772 matching completed request phases in the saved ledger. No response contains an explicit exact quantization. Of these phases, 5,196 have a saved provider that joins to a currently listed endpoint with a known quantization, but that join is ambiguous because the endpoint snapshot was fetched after the requests and is not historical route evidence. The remaining 10,576 have unknown quantization under the current join. Source: `slop/research/wvs/20260918_gemini_flash_rubric_pilot/quantization_audit.json` and its dated endpoint snapshot. My read: quantization-stratified variance is not identifiable from the saved results; provider and current endpoint metadata must not be relabelled as the historical quantization.
Predictions recorded before requests:
- If reasoning depth is a material source of coordinate variation, the paired high-minus-minimum shift should repeat in direction across releases within each rubric.
- If rating-scale wording is a material source, the reverse-transformed reversed-rubric cell should differ from the normal-rubric cell under the same reasoning setting.
- If a release trend is robust, its direction should be similar in all four cells. A trend that changes sign across rubric or reasoning cells is evidence of measurement sensitivity rather than a stable family trajectory.
- Under a rubric-invariant readout, normal and reverse-transformed cells should agree within their paired sampling uncertainty.
My read: the crossed design is likely more informative than increasing repeats under one prompt, because it tests two named measurement choices while holding provider, items, options, and seed schedules fixed. A remaining alternative is genuine model variation within the Flash series; the four-cell agreement pattern is what separates that from prompt sensitivity. -- PI[gpt-5.6-terra]
The paid run begins only after metadata capture is durable and a one-request smoke record shows the actual route and response fields.
## 2026-09-18 -- Gemini Flash high-reasoning paid smoke
This entry records the provider-locked smoke before the crossed Gemini Flash pilot.
| phase | finish | prompt tokens | completion tokens | reasoning tokens | cost, USD | parse result |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | --- |
| initial | length | 166 | 1,009 | 979 | 0.0031100 | truncated JSON |
| rescue | stop | 525 | 662 | 602 | 0.0022485 | valid JSON |
| total | | 691 | 1,671 | 1,581 | 0.0053585 | one valid sample |
The raw records are `slop/research/wvs/20260918_gemini_flash_rubric_pilot/paid_smoke.jsonl`; the checked summary is `paid_smoke.json` in the same directory. Both phases report requested and response model `google/gemini-3-flash-preview`, selected provider `Google AI Studio`, and selected release slug `google/gemini-3-flash-preview-20251217`. The saved standard endpoint advertises quantization as `unknown`. Local conservative spend and provider-reported spend both equal USD 0.0053585, with no failed phase, no held reservation, and the same amount settled to the repository-wide budget ledger.
My read: high reasoning can exhaust the initial completion budget before returning the rating object, because this initial phase spent 979 of 1,009 completion tokens on reasoning and stopped for length. The rescue path recovered this sample, but one sample does not estimate how often rescue will be needed. Repeated rescues would make the preregistered initial-request cost bound optimistic for completion, while the USD 10 runtime stop would still end the pilot early rather than overspend. -- PI[gpt-5.6-terra]
The full pilot remains unqueued until this smoke is reviewed.
## 2026-09-18 -- Gemini Flash protocol amendment after the high-reasoning smoke
This entry records the protocol change made before any panel run.
The first high-reasoning smoke stopped for length after using 979 reasoning tokens inside 1,009 completion tokens, then required a rescue. Source: `slop/research/wvs/20260918_gemini_flash_rubric_pilot/paid_smoke.jsonl:3-5`. The initial USD 9.363456 panel estimate assumed 1,024 output tokens for every cell and did not bound rescue phases. It is therefore not a completion-safe estimate for the observed high-reasoning path.
The amended protocol holds `max_tokens=2048` fixed in all four cells, so output budget is not a second treatment that differs with reasoning condition. N remains six per item and cell across the same five releases. Each cell's 2,048-token setting is part of its manifest row and protocol identity. The request reservation holds input at 2,048 tokens for both initial and rescue phases; the observed initial and rescue prompts used 166 and 525 prompt tokens, so increasing the input reserve with the output limit had no measured basis. The regenerated manifest bounds the 1,440 initial panel requests at USD 16.220160. One revised smoke is bounded at USD 0.007168, leaving USD 3.772672 below the owner-authorized USD 20 stage stop before observed spend. Sources: `slop/research/wvs/20260918_gemini_flash_rubric_pilot/manifest.json` and the standard-endpoint prices in `endpoint_catalog.json`.
The rescue now receives the same paired seed as its initial request. Every paid response is route-validated before the caller can accept it. A route mismatch is charged using returned usage, saved with the full response as `request_attempt_route_invalid`, and fails the sample rather than retrying another route. The offline smoke verifies seed propagation, route-mismatch settlement and persistence, bounded transient retry, request reuse, and the reversed-rating transform. Source: `slop/research/wvs/20260918_gemini_flash_rubric_pilot/metadata_capture_smoke.json` and its JSONL records.
My read: fixing the token budget across cells removes a clear condition-specific confound while preserving reasoning effort and rubric direction as the two intended treatments. The larger initial-request bound is an estimate, while the runtime stage stop remains the spending limit. A new provider-locked high-reasoning smoke must return parse-valid JSON without rescue before the full pilot can be considered for dispatch. -- PI[gpt-5.6-terra]
The amended full pilot remains unqueued pending the revised paid smoke and review.
## 2026-09-18 -- Revised Gemini Flash high-reasoning smoke
This entry records the paid smoke of the amended fixed-output-budget protocol.
The `normal_high` cell used `google/gemini-3-flash-preview`, high reasoning, `max_tokens=2048`, and the same first-item seed as its full-panel manifest. The initial request returned a complete ten-key rating object with `finish_reason=stop`; no rescue was dispatched. It used 166 prompt tokens and 1,535 completion tokens, of which 1,494 were reasoning tokens, for 1,701 total tokens and USD 0.004688. The selected route was Google AI Studio release `google/gemini-3-flash-preview-20251217`; the standard endpoint's advertised quantization field was present as `unknown`. Source: `slop/research/wvs/20260918_gemini_flash_rubric_pilot/paid_smoke_2048.jsonl` and checked summary `paid_smoke_2048.json`.
The local pilot ledger now includes both smoke protocols and reports USD 0.0100465 as provider-reported and conservative spend, zero held reservation, and zero failed phases. The revised smoke's distinct repository-wide settlement is USD 0.004688 with no matching held reservation. Replaying the smoke command reused the completed protocol and added no request-attempt record.
My read: this sample supports the operational requirement that the fixed 2,048-token output budget can return high-reasoning ratings without a rescue. It does not estimate truncation frequency across items or releases. The fixed budget removes the known condition-specific budget difference, while route validation, seeded rescue, the USD 20 stage stop, and the append-only records bound the remaining operational risks. -- PI[gpt-5.6-terra]
The full pilot remains unqueued until the revised smoke is inspected.
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#!/bin/sh
set -eu
exec uv run --offline --with 'datasets>=4.0,<5' python scripts/wvs_gemini_flash_rubric_pilot.py --run
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#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""Run the provider-locked Gemini Flash reasoning and rating-rubric pilot. -- PI[gpt-5.6-terra]"""
from __future__ import annotations
import argparse
import asyncio
import fcntl
import hashlib
import json
import os
from collections import Counter
from datetime import UTC, datetime
from decimal import Decimal
from pathlib import Path
import httpx
import numpy as np
from moralmaps.iw_axes import X_AXIS, Y_AXIS, resolve_items
from moralmaps.read_api import (
openrouter_request_with_metadata_once,
rated_protocol_identity,
read_items_rated,
)
from openrouter_wrapper.retry import is_retryable_error
from wvs_map import _sample_only_coord_se, load_wvs_all, model_coord_ci
from wvs_score_all_options_refresh import STATE as GLOBAL_BUDGET_STATE
from wvs_score_all_options_refresh import reserve, settle_external_reservation
EVAL_VERSION = "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1"
MODELS = (
"google/gemini-3-flash-preview",
"google/gemini-3.5-flash",
"google/gemini-3.6-flash",
"google/gemini-3.7-flash",
"google/gemini-3.8-flash",
)
MINIMUM_REASONING = {
"google/gemini-3-flash-preview": "minimal",
"google/gemini-3.5-flash": "minimal",
"google/gemini-3.6-flash": "minimal",
"google/gemini-3.7-flash": "low",
"google/gemini-3.8-flash": "low",
}
PROVIDER = {"only": ["google-ai-studio"], "allow_fallbacks": False, "require_parameters": True}
CELLS = (
("normal_minimum", "normal", "minimum"),
("normal_high", "normal", "high"),
("reversed_minimum", "reversed", "minimum"),
("reversed_high", "reversed", "high"),
)
N_SAMPLES = 6
MAX_TOKENS = 2048
OUT = Path("slop/research/wvs/20260918_gemini_flash_rubric_pilot")
ENDPOINT_CATALOG = OUT / "endpoint_catalog.json"
MANIFEST = OUT / "manifest.json"
QUANTIZATION_AUDIT = OUT / "quantization_audit.json"
RESULTS = OUT / "results.json"
STATE = OUT / "budget.json"
LOCK = OUT / "budget.lock"
EXISTING_LEDGER = Path("slop/research/wvs/20260916_openrouter/wvs_iw_requests.jsonl")
CANONICAL_CACHE = Path("slop/research/wvs/20260916_openrouter/wvs_iw_rated.json")
MODEL_CATALOG = Path("slop/research/wvs/20260917_openrouter_models.json")
REQUEST_ATTEMPTS = OUT / "request_attempts.jsonl"
PILOT_CAP_USD = Decimal("20")
MAX_ATTEMPTS = 3
TRANSPORT_TIMEOUT = 120
REQUEST_TIMEOUT = 400
GLOBAL_RESERVATION = "pilot/gemini-flash-rubric"
SMOKE_RESERVATION = "pilot/gemini-flash-rubric-smoke-2048"
REVISED_SMOKE_RECORDS = OUT / "paid_smoke_2048.jsonl"
REVISED_SMOKE_SUMMARY = OUT / "paid_smoke_2048.json"
def atomic_json(path: Path, value: object) -> None:
path.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
temp = path.with_suffix(path.suffix + ".tmp")
temp.write_text(json.dumps(value, indent=2, sort_keys=True) + "\n")
temp.replace(path)
def reservation_id(prefix: str) -> str:
return f"{prefix}/{datetime.now(UTC).strftime('%Y%m%dT%H%M%S.%fZ')}"
def rated_items() -> tuple[list[dict], dict]:
resolved = resolve_items(load_wvs_all())
items, seen = [], set()
for axis in (X_AXIS, Y_AXIS):
for item in resolved[axis]:
if item["suffix"] in seen:
continue
seen.add(item["suffix"])
items.append({"id": item["suffix"], "question": item["rec"]["q"],
"options": item["rec"]["opts"], "n": item["n"]})
return items, resolved
def model_catalog() -> dict[str, dict]:
return {row["id"]: row for row in json.loads(MODEL_CATALOG.read_text())["data"]}
def endpoint_catalog() -> dict[str, dict]:
return {row["id"]: row for row in json.loads(ENDPOINT_CATALOG.read_text())["models"]}
def standard_endpoint(model: str) -> dict:
matches = [row for row in endpoint_catalog()[model]["endpoints"]
if row.get("tag") == "google-ai-studio"]
if len(matches) != 1:
raise RuntimeError(f"expected one standard google-ai-studio endpoint for {model}, got {len(matches)}")
return matches[0]
def validate_route(response: dict, model: str) -> dict:
endpoint = standard_endpoint(model)
if "quantization" not in endpoint:
raise RuntimeError(f"standard endpoint omitted advertised quantization: {model}")
prefix = f"{endpoint['provider_name']} | "
if not endpoint["name"].startswith(prefix):
raise RuntimeError(f"cannot recover exact release slug from endpoint name: {endpoint['name']}")
exact_release_slug = endpoint["name"].removeprefix(prefix)
metadata = response.get("openrouter_metadata")
if not isinstance(metadata, dict):
raise RuntimeError("response omitted openrouter_metadata")
available = metadata.get("endpoints", {}).get("available", [])
selected = [row for row in available if row.get("selected") is True]
if len(selected) != 1:
raise RuntimeError(f"expected one selected metadata endpoint, got {len(selected)}")
route = selected[0]
expected = {
"requested_model": model,
"response_model": model,
"selected_provider": endpoint["provider_name"],
"selected_release_slug": exact_release_slug,
}
observed = {
"requested_model": metadata.get("requested"),
"response_model": response.get("model"),
"selected_provider": route.get("provider"),
"selected_release_slug": route.get("model"),
}
if observed != expected:
raise RuntimeError(f"route mismatch: expected={expected} observed={observed}")
return {
**observed,
"endpoint_tag": endpoint["tag"],
"advertised_quantization": endpoint["quantization"],
}
def deterministic_seeds(model: str, count: int) -> list[int]:
seeds = []
for sequence in range(count):
digest = hashlib.sha256(f"{EVAL_VERSION}|{model}|paired|{sequence}".encode()).digest()
seeds.append(int.from_bytes(digest[:4], "big") & 0x7FFF_FFFF)
if len(set(seeds)) != len(seeds):
raise RuntimeError(f"seed collision for {model}")
return seeds
def reasoning(model: str, level: str) -> dict:
effort = MINIMUM_REASONING[model] if level == "minimum" else "high"
return {"effort": effort}
def records_path(model: str, cell: str) -> Path:
return OUT / "records" / model.replace("/", "__") / f"{cell}.jsonl"
def explicit_quantizations(value: object) -> list[str]:
found = []
if isinstance(value, dict):
for key, child in value.items():
if key.lower() == "quantization" and child not in (None, "unknown"):
found.append(str(child))
found.extend(explicit_quantizations(child))
elif isinstance(value, list):
for child in value:
found.extend(explicit_quantizations(child))
return found
def quantization_audit() -> dict:
cache = json.loads(CANONICAL_CACHE.read_text())["completed"]
canonical_models = sorted({entry["model"] for entry in cache.values()
if entry.get("eval_version") == "wvs-score-all-options-v1"})
endpoints_by_model = endpoint_catalog()
counts = {model: Counter() for model in canonical_models}
providers = {model: Counter() for model in canonical_models}
for line in EXISTING_LEDGER.read_text().splitlines():
record = json.loads(line)
model = record.get("model")
if model not in counts or record.get("event") != "request_completed":
continue
response = record.get("response") or {}
provider = record.get("provider") or response.get("provider")
providers[model][str(provider)] += 1
exact = explicit_quantizations(response)
if exact:
counts[model]["exact_response_quantization"] += 1
continue
if not provider:
counts[model]["unknown_missing_provider"] += 1
continue
matches = [endpoint for endpoint in endpoints_by_model[model]["endpoints"]
if endpoint.get("provider_name") == provider]
known = {endpoint.get("quantization") for endpoint in matches
if endpoint.get("quantization") not in (None, "unknown")}
if known:
counts[model]["ambiguous_current_snapshot_join"] += 1
elif matches:
counts[model]["unknown_current_quantization"] += 1
else:
counts[model]["unknown_no_current_provider_join"] += 1
rows = [{
"model": model,
"saved_provider_counts": dict(providers[model]),
"classification_counts": dict(counts[model]),
"current_endpoint_quantizations": sorted({
str(endpoint.get("quantization"))
for endpoint in endpoints_by_model[model]["endpoints"]
}),
} for model in canonical_models]
exact = sum(row["classification_counts"].get("exact_response_quantization", 0) for row in rows)
ambiguous = sum(row["classification_counts"].get("ambiguous_current_snapshot_join", 0) for row in rows)
unknown = sum(sum(count for key, count in row["classification_counts"].items()
if key.startswith("unknown_")) for row in rows)
total = exact + ambiguous + unknown
return {
"schema": 2,
"source_ledger": str(EXISTING_LEDGER),
"canonical_cache": str(CANONICAL_CACHE),
"endpoint_catalog": str(ENDPOINT_CATALOG),
"endpoint_snapshot_scope": "all exact model IDs in the canonical v1 cache",
"endpoint_snapshot_is_historical_route_evidence": False,
"canonical_models": len(canonical_models),
"completed_request_phases": total,
"classification_counts": {"exact": exact, "ambiguous": ambiguous, "unknown": unknown},
"rows": rows,
"conclusion": ("No quantization-stratified variance is identifiable. Exact requires an explicit saved "
"response quantization; current endpoint joins are ambiguous rather than historical route evidence."),
}
def write_manifest() -> dict:
items, _ = rated_items()
catalog = model_catalog()
rows = []
for model in MODELS:
endpoint = standard_endpoint(model)
advertised = set(endpoint["supported_parameters"])
efforts = set(catalog[model]["reasoning"]["supported_efforts"])
minimum = MINIMUM_REASONING[model]
if not {"reasoning_effort", "structured_outputs", "seed"} <= advertised:
raise RuntimeError(f"endpoint lacks required parameters: {model}")
if not {minimum, "high"} <= efforts:
raise RuntimeError(f"catalog lacks required reasoning efforts: {model}")
seeds = deterministic_seeds(model, len(items) * N_SAMPLES)
cells = []
for cell, rubric, level in CELLS:
protocol_id = rated_protocol_identity(
model, items, n_samples=N_SAMPLES, temperature=1.0, max_tokens=MAX_TOKENS,
concurrency=1, req_timeout=REQUEST_TIMEOUT, reasoning=reasoning(model, level),
structured_output=True, provider=PROVIDER, eval_version=EVAL_VERSION,
seed_schedule=seeds, rating_rubric=rubric, request_metadata=True,
)
cells.append({"name": cell, "rating_rubric": rubric,
"reasoning": reasoning(model, level), "max_tokens": MAX_TOKENS,
"protocol_id": protocol_id, "records": str(records_path(model, cell))})
prompt_price = Decimal(endpoint["pricing"]["prompt"]) * Decimal(1_000_000)
completion_price = Decimal(endpoint["pricing"]["completion"]) * Decimal(1_000_000)
calls = Decimal(len(cells) * len(items) * N_SAMPLES)
bound = calls * (Decimal(2048) * prompt_price + Decimal(MAX_TOKENS) * completion_price) / Decimal(1_000_000)
rows.append({
"id": model,
"created": catalog[model]["created"],
"minimum_reasoning": minimum,
"paired_seed_schedule": seeds,
"provider_endpoint": endpoint["tag"],
"advertised_quantization": endpoint.get("quantization"),
"input_usd_per_million": str(prompt_price),
"output_usd_per_million": str(completion_price),
"cells": cells,
"calls": int(calls),
"runtime_initial_request_bound_usd": str(bound),
})
audit = quantization_audit()
panel_bound = sum(Decimal(row["runtime_initial_request_bound_usd"]) for row in rows)
smoke_endpoint = standard_endpoint(MODELS[0])
smoke_bound = (Decimal(2048) * Decimal(smoke_endpoint["pricing"]["prompt"])
+ Decimal(MAX_TOKENS) * Decimal(smoke_endpoint["pricing"]["completion"]))
payload = {
"schema": 1,
"eval_version": EVAL_VERSION,
"created_utc": datetime.now(UTC).isoformat(),
"models": rows,
"items": len(items),
"samples_per_item_per_cell": N_SAMPLES,
"cells_per_model": len(CELLS),
"panel_calls": sum(row["calls"] for row in rows),
"paid_smoke_calls": 1,
"provider": PROVIDER,
"temperature": 1.0,
"structured_output": True,
"request_metadata": True,
"max_attempts_per_request": MAX_ATTEMPTS,
"transport_timeout_seconds": TRANSPORT_TIMEOUT,
"request_timeout_seconds": REQUEST_TIMEOUT,
"reverse_transform": "6 - rating; raw and transformed samples retained separately",
"merge_reversed_into_primary": False,
"z_scaling": False,
"runtime_input_token_reserve_per_initial_request": 2048,
"panel_initial_request_bound_usd": str(panel_bound),
"paid_smoke_bound_usd": str(smoke_bound),
"panel_plus_smoke_bound_usd": str(panel_bound + smoke_bound),
"headroom_below_hard_stop_usd": str(PILOT_CAP_USD - panel_bound - smoke_bound),
"hard_pilot_stop_usd": str(PILOT_CAP_USD),
"catalog_sha256": hashlib.sha256(MODEL_CATALOG.read_bytes()).hexdigest(),
"endpoint_catalog_sha256": hashlib.sha256(ENDPOINT_CATALOG.read_bytes()).hexdigest(),
"not_published": True,
"quantization_audit": audit["conclusion"],
}
atomic_json(QUANTIZATION_AUDIT, audit)
atomic_json(MANIFEST, payload)
return payload
def update_state(update) -> dict:
OUT.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
with LOCK.open("w") as lock:
fcntl.flock(lock, fcntl.LOCK_EX)
state = json.loads(STATE.read_text()) if STATE.exists() else {
"schema": 1,
"hard_cap_usd": str(PILOT_CAP_USD),
"provider_reported_spent_usd": "0",
"conservative_spent_usd": "0",
"reserved_usd": "0",
"completed_phases": 0,
"completed_phases_without_provider_cost": 0,
"failed_phases_charged_at_bound": 0,
}
state["hard_cap_usd"] = str(PILOT_CAP_USD)
update(state)
atomic_json(STATE, state)
fcntl.flock(lock, fcntl.LOCK_UN)
return state
def request_bound(payload: dict) -> Decimal:
endpoint = standard_endpoint(payload["model"])
prompt_price = Decimal(endpoint["pricing"]["prompt"])
completion_price = Decimal(endpoint["pricing"]["completion"])
input_token_bound = Decimal(2048)
return input_token_bound * prompt_price + Decimal(payload["max_tokens"]) * completion_price
def reserve_request(payload: dict) -> Decimal:
bound = request_bound(payload)
def update(state: dict) -> None:
spent = Decimal(state["conservative_spent_usd"])
held = Decimal(state["reserved_usd"])
if spent + held + bound > PILOT_CAP_USD:
raise RuntimeError(f"pilot hard stop: spent={spent} held={held} next={bound} cap={PILOT_CAP_USD}")
state["reserved_usd"] = str(held + bound)
update_state(update)
return bound
def append_attempt(record: dict) -> None:
record["recorded_at_utc"] = datetime.now(UTC).isoformat()
REQUEST_ATTEMPTS.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
with REQUEST_ATTEMPTS.open("a") as file:
file.write(json.dumps(record, sort_keys=True) + "\n")
file.flush()
os.fsync(file.fileno())
def settle_request(bound: Decimal, response: dict | None) -> None:
reported = None if response is None else (response.get("usage") or {}).get("cost")
charged = bound if reported is None else Decimal(str(reported))
def update(state: dict) -> None:
state["reserved_usd"] = str(Decimal(state["reserved_usd"]) - bound)
state["conservative_spent_usd"] = str(Decimal(state["conservative_spent_usd"]) + charged)
if response is None:
state["failed_phases_charged_at_bound"] += 1
return
state["completed_phases"] += 1
if reported is None:
state["completed_phases_without_provider_cost"] += 1
else:
state["provider_reported_spent_usd"] = str(
Decimal(state["provider_reported_spent_usd"]) + Decimal(str(reported)))
update_state(update)
async def budgeted_request(payload: dict) -> dict:
payload_hash = hashlib.sha256(json.dumps(payload, sort_keys=True).encode()).hexdigest()
for attempt in range(1, MAX_ATTEMPTS + 1):
bound = reserve_request(payload)
try:
response = await openrouter_request_with_metadata_once(payload, timeout=TRANSPORT_TIMEOUT)
except Exception as error:
settle_request(bound, None)
response_text = None
status_code = None
if isinstance(error, httpx.HTTPStatusError):
response_text = error.response.text
status_code = error.response.status_code
append_attempt({"event": "request_attempt_failed", "model": payload["model"],
"payload_sha256": payload_hash, "attempt": attempt,
"reserved_bound_usd": str(bound), "error_type": type(error).__name__,
"error": str(error), "error_data": getattr(error, "data", None),
"status_code": status_code, "response_text": response_text})
if attempt == MAX_ATTEMPTS or not is_retryable_error(error, response_text or ""):
raise
await asyncio.sleep(2 ** (attempt - 1))
continue
try:
route = validate_route(response, payload["model"])
except Exception as error:
settle_request(bound, response)
append_attempt({"event": "request_attempt_route_invalid", "model": payload["model"],
"payload_sha256": payload_hash, "attempt": attempt,
"reserved_bound_usd": str(bound),
"provider_reported_cost_usd": (response.get("usage") or {}).get("cost"),
"response_id": response.get("id"), "response": response,
"error_type": type(error).__name__, "error": str(error)})
raise
settle_request(bound, response)
append_attempt({"event": "request_attempt_completed", "model": payload["model"],
"payload_sha256": payload_hash, "attempt": attempt,
"reserved_bound_usd": str(bound),
"provider_reported_cost_usd": (response.get("usage") or {}).get("cost"),
"response_id": response.get("id"), "route": route,
"openrouter_metadata": response.get("openrouter_metadata")})
return response
raise AssertionError("unreachable")
def cell_result(model: str, cell: dict, items: list[dict], resolved: dict) -> dict | None:
path = Path(cell["records"])
events = [json.loads(line) for line in path.read_text().splitlines()] if path.exists() else []
finished = [event for event in events if event.get("event") == "run_finished"
and event.get("protocol_id") == cell["protocol_id"]]
if not finished:
return None
final = finished[-1]
rows = {event["id"]: event for event in events
if event.get("event") == "item_result" and event.get("run_id") == final["run_id"]}
result = {
"name": cell["name"], "protocol_id": cell["protocol_id"], "run_id": final["run_id"],
"records": str(path), "valid_samples": final["valid_samples"],
"failed_samples": final["failed_samples"], "rescued_samples": final["rescued_samples"],
}
complete = (len(rows) == len(items) and final["valid_samples"] == len(items) * N_SAMPLES
and final["failed_samples"] == 0
and all(row["valid_samples"] == N_SAMPLES for row in rows.values()))
if not complete:
return result | {"status": "incomplete"}
psamples = {item["id"]: np.asarray(rows[item["id"]]["p_samples"]) for item in items}
coords = model_coord_ci(psamples, resolved, np.random.default_rng(0))
response_se = _sample_only_coord_se(psamples, resolved, np.random.default_rng(1), n_draws=N_SAMPLES)
metadata = [event["response"].get("openrouter_metadata") for event in events
if event.get("event") == "request_completed" and event.get("run_id") == final["run_id"]]
return result | {"status": "complete", "coords": list(coords),
"response_mean_se": list(response_se),
"routing_metadata_records": len([row for row in metadata if row is not None])}
def run_cell(model: dict, cell: dict, items: list[dict], resolved: dict) -> dict:
prior = cell_result(model["id"], cell, items, resolved)
if prior is not None and prior["status"] == "complete":
return prior
rows = read_items_rated(
model["id"], items, n_samples=N_SAMPLES, temperature=1.0, max_tokens=cell["max_tokens"],
concurrency=1, req_timeout=REQUEST_TIMEOUT, reasoning=cell["reasoning"], structured_output=True,
records_path=cell["records"], verbose_first=True, provider=PROVIDER, probe_first=True,
eval_version=EVAL_VERSION, identity_eval_version=EVAL_VERSION,
seed_schedule=model["paired_seed_schedule"], rating_rubric=cell["rating_rubric"],
request_metadata=True, reuse_valid_records=True, request_fn=budgeted_request,
)
if sum(row["valid_samples"] for row in rows) == 0:
raise RuntimeError(f"cell produced no valid samples: {model['id']} {cell['name']}")
result = cell_result(model["id"], cell, items, resolved)
if result is None:
raise RuntimeError(f"cell did not write run_finished: {model['id']} {cell['name']}")
return result
def run() -> None:
data = json.loads(MANIFEST.read_text())
items, resolved = rated_items()
global_reservation = reservation_id(GLOBAL_RESERVATION)
if not reserve({"id": global_reservation, "lane": "google", "reserve_usd": str(PILOT_CAP_USD)}):
raise RuntimeError("global repository cap rejected Gemini pilot reservation")
before = Decimal(update_state(lambda state: state)["conservative_spent_usd"])
results = {"schema": 1, "eval_version": EVAL_VERSION, "models": [], "not_published": True}
try:
for model in data["models"]:
cells = []
for cell in model["cells"]:
cells.append(run_cell(model, cell, items, resolved))
atomic_json(RESULTS, results | {"models": results["models"] + [
{"id": model["id"], "cells": cells}]})
results["models"].append({"id": model["id"], "cells": cells})
atomic_json(RESULTS, results)
finally:
after = Decimal(update_state(lambda state: state)["conservative_spent_usd"])
settle_external_reservation(global_reservation, after - before)
state = update_state(lambda value: value.update({"finished_utc": datetime.now(UTC).isoformat()}))
if RESULTS.exists():
saved = json.loads(RESULTS.read_text())
atomic_json(RESULTS, saved | {"budget": {
"provider_reported_spent_usd": state["provider_reported_spent_usd"],
"conservative_spent_usd": state["conservative_spent_usd"],
"completed_phases_without_provider_cost": state["completed_phases_without_provider_cost"],
"failed_phases_charged_at_bound": state["failed_phases_charged_at_bound"],
}})
def metadata_smoke() -> None:
global openrouter_request_with_metadata_once
body = {
"id": "fake", "model": "fake", "provider": "Google AI Studio",
"choices": [{"finish_reason": "stop", "message": {"content": '{"0": 1, "1": 5}'}}],
"usage": {"cost": 0},
"openrouter_metadata": {
"requested": "fake",
"endpoints": {"available": [
{"provider": "Google AI Studio", "model": "fake-release", "selected": True}
]},
},
}
def handler(request: httpx.Request) -> httpx.Response:
assert request.headers["X-OpenRouter-Metadata"] == "enabled"
assert request.headers["Authorization"] == "Bearer test-key"
return httpx.Response(200, json=body)
response = asyncio.run(openrouter_request_with_metadata_once(
{"model": "fake", "messages": [{"role": "user", "content": "test"}]},
api_key="test-key", transport=httpx.MockTransport(handler)))
assert response["openrouter_metadata"] == body["openrouter_metadata"]
model = MODELS[0]
endpoint = standard_endpoint(model)
exact_release_slug = endpoint["name"].removeprefix(f"{endpoint['provider_name']} | ")
route_response = {
"model": model,
"openrouter_metadata": {
"requested": model,
"endpoints": {"available": [{
"provider": endpoint["provider_name"], "model": exact_release_slug, "selected": True,
}]},
},
}
assert validate_route(route_response, model)["advertised_quantization"] == "unknown"
route_body = body | route_response | {"provider": endpoint["provider_name"]}
record = OUT / "metadata_capture_smoke.jsonl"
record.unlink(missing_ok=True)
request_count = 0
async def fake_request(payload: dict) -> dict:
nonlocal request_count
request_count += 1
return body
kwargs = dict(
n_samples=1, records_path=record, reasoning={"effort": "minimal"}, structured_output=True,
provider=PROVIDER, eval_version=EVAL_VERSION, identity_eval_version=EVAL_VERSION,
seed_schedule=[1], rating_rubric="reversed", request_metadata=True,
)
items = [{"id": "test", "question": "test", "options": ["a", "b"], "n": 2}]
rows = read_items_rated("fake", items, request_fn=fake_request, **kwargs)
async def must_not_request(payload: dict) -> dict:
raise AssertionError("resume repeated a completed request")
read_items_rated("fake", items, request_fn=must_not_request, reuse_valid_records=True, **kwargs)
events = [json.loads(line) for line in record.read_text().splitlines()]
completed = next(event for event in events if event["event"] == "request_completed")
assert completed["response"]["openrouter_metadata"] == body["openrouter_metadata"]
assert rows[0]["rating_samples_raw"] == [[1.0, 5.0]]
assert rows[0]["rating_samples_transformed"] == [[5.0, 1.0]]
assert request_count == 1
assert sum(event["event"] == "request_reused" for event in events) == 1
rescue_record = OUT / "rescue_seed_capture_smoke.jsonl"
rescue_record.unlink(missing_ok=True)
rescue_payloads = []
async def fake_rescue_request(payload: dict) -> dict:
rescue_payloads.append(payload)
reply = json.loads(json.dumps(body))
if len(rescue_payloads) == 1:
reply["choices"][0]["finish_reason"] = "length"
reply["choices"][0]["message"]["content"] = '{"0": 1'
return reply
read_items_rated(
"fake", items, n_samples=1, max_tokens=MAX_TOKENS,
records_path=rescue_record, reasoning={"effort": "high"}, structured_output=True,
provider=PROVIDER, eval_version=EVAL_VERSION, identity_eval_version=EVAL_VERSION,
seed_schedule=[23], rating_rubric="normal", request_metadata=True,
request_fn=fake_rescue_request,
)
assert len(rescue_payloads) == 2
assert [payload["seed"] for payload in rescue_payloads] == [23, 23]
rescue_events = [json.loads(line) for line in rescue_record.read_text().splitlines()]
started = [event for event in rescue_events if event["event"] == "request_started"]
assert [event["payload"]["seed"] for event in started] == [23, 23]
state_before = STATE.read_bytes() if STATE.exists() else None
attempts_before = REQUEST_ATTEMPTS.read_bytes() if REQUEST_ATTEMPTS.exists() else None
initial_state = json.loads(state_before) if state_before is not None else {
"conservative_spent_usd": "0", "provider_reported_spent_usd": "0",
"failed_phases_charged_at_bound": 0,
}
real_request = openrouter_request_with_metadata_once
retry_count = 0
async def flaky_request(payload: dict, timeout: float = 60.0) -> dict:
nonlocal retry_count
retry_count += 1
if retry_count == 1:
raise httpx.ReadTimeout("temporary", request=httpx.Request("POST", "https://openrouter.ai"))
return route_body
try:
openrouter_request_with_metadata_once = flaky_request
retry_payload = {"model": MODELS[0], "messages": [{"role": "user", "content": "test"}],
"max_tokens": MAX_TOKENS}
asyncio.run(budgeted_request(retry_payload))
assert retry_count == 2
retry_state = json.loads(STATE.read_text())
spent_delta = (Decimal(retry_state["conservative_spent_usd"])
- Decimal(initial_state["conservative_spent_usd"]))
assert spent_delta == request_bound(retry_payload)
assert Decimal(retry_state["provider_reported_spent_usd"]) == Decimal(
initial_state["provider_reported_spent_usd"])
assert retry_state["failed_phases_charged_at_bound"] == (
initial_state["failed_phases_charged_at_bound"] + 1)
attempt_events = [json.loads(line) for line in REQUEST_ATTEMPTS.read_text().splitlines()]
assert [event["event"] for event in attempt_events[-2:]] == [
"request_attempt_failed", "request_attempt_completed"]
invalid_body = json.loads(json.dumps(route_body))
invalid_body["usage"]["cost"] = 0.001
invalid_body["openrouter_metadata"]["endpoints"]["available"][0]["provider"] = "Wrong"
async def invalid_route_request(payload: dict, timeout: float = 60.0) -> dict:
return invalid_body
openrouter_request_with_metadata_once = invalid_route_request
before_invalid = Decimal(json.loads(STATE.read_text())["conservative_spent_usd"])
try:
asyncio.run(budgeted_request(retry_payload))
except RuntimeError as error:
assert "route mismatch" in str(error)
else:
raise AssertionError("route mismatch did not fail")
invalid_state = json.loads(STATE.read_text())
assert Decimal(invalid_state["conservative_spent_usd"]) - before_invalid == Decimal("0.001")
invalid_event = json.loads(REQUEST_ATTEMPTS.read_text().splitlines()[-1])
assert invalid_event["event"] == "request_attempt_route_invalid"
assert invalid_event["response"] == invalid_body
atomic_json(OUT / "route_mismatch_capture_smoke.json", invalid_event)
finally:
openrouter_request_with_metadata_once = real_request
if state_before is None:
STATE.unlink(missing_ok=True)
else:
STATE.write_bytes(state_before)
if attempts_before is None:
REQUEST_ATTEMPTS.unlink(missing_ok=True)
else:
REQUEST_ATTEMPTS.write_bytes(attempts_before)
atomic_json(OUT / "metadata_capture_smoke.json", {
"status": "passed", "request_header": "X-OpenRouter-Metadata: enabled",
"durable_response_field": completed["response"]["openrouter_metadata"],
"reverse_transform": {"raw": [1.0, 5.0], "transformed": [5.0, 1.0]},
"resume": "one completed request reused without another call",
"retry": "one retryable timeout preserved, charged conservatively, then completed",
"route_mismatch": "failed inline after charging actual cost and saving the full response",
"route_mismatch_record": str(OUT / "route_mismatch_capture_smoke.json"),
"rescue_seed": "seed 23 present in both initial and rescue payloads",
"rescue_seed_records": str(rescue_record),
"failed_retry_conservative_charge_usd": str(request_bound({"model": MODELS[0], "max_tokens": MAX_TOKENS})),
})
def paid_smoke() -> None:
data = json.loads(MANIFEST.read_text())
model = data["models"][0]
cell = next(row for row in model["cells"] if row["name"] == "normal_high")
items, _ = rated_items()
smoke_records = REVISED_SMOKE_RECORDS
existing = [json.loads(line) for line in smoke_records.read_text().splitlines()] if smoke_records.exists() else []
high_runs = {event["run_id"] for event in existing if event.get("event") == "run_started"
and event["settings"]["reasoning"] == {"effort": "high"}
and event["settings"]["max_tokens"] == cell["max_tokens"]}
finished = [event for event in existing if event.get("event") == "run_finished"
and event["run_id"] in high_runs and event["valid_samples"] == 1]
if not finished:
smoke_reservation = reservation_id(SMOKE_RESERVATION)
if not reserve({"id": smoke_reservation, "lane": "google", "reserve_usd": "0.05"}):
raise RuntimeError("global repository cap rejected paid smoke reservation")
before = Decimal(update_state(lambda state: state)["conservative_spent_usd"])
try:
read_items_rated(
model["id"], [items[0]], n_samples=1, temperature=1.0, max_tokens=cell["max_tokens"],
concurrency=1, req_timeout=REQUEST_TIMEOUT, reasoning=cell["reasoning"], structured_output=True,
records_path=smoke_records, verbose_first=True, provider=PROVIDER, probe_first=True,
eval_version=EVAL_VERSION, identity_eval_version=f"{EVAL_VERSION}-smoke",
seed_schedule=[model["paired_seed_schedule"][0]], rating_rubric="normal",
request_metadata=True, request_fn=budgeted_request,
)
finally:
after = Decimal(update_state(lambda state: state)["conservative_spent_usd"])
settle_external_reservation(smoke_reservation, after - before)
events = [json.loads(line) for line in smoke_records.read_text().splitlines()]
high_runs = {event["run_id"] for event in events if event.get("event") == "run_started"
and event["settings"]["reasoning"] == {"effort": "high"}
and event["settings"]["max_tokens"] == cell["max_tokens"]}
finished = [event for event in events if event.get("event") == "run_finished"
and event["run_id"] in high_runs][-1]
run_id = finished["run_id"]
completed = [event for event in events if event.get("event") == "request_completed"
and event["run_id"] == run_id]
parsed = [event for event in events if event.get("event") == "answer_parsed"
and event["run_id"] == run_id][-1]
if finished["valid_samples"] != 1 or finished["failed_samples"] != 0 or parsed["parsed"] is not True:
raise RuntimeError(f"paid smoke was not parse-valid: finished={finished} parsed={parsed}")
phases = []
for event in completed:
response = event["response"]
message = response["choices"][0]["message"]
phases.append({
"phase": event["phase"], "route": validate_route(response, model["id"]),
"response_id": response.get("id"),
"finish_reason": response["choices"][0]["finish_reason"],
"content": message.get("content"), "reasoning_text": message.get("reasoning"),
"reasoning_details": message.get("reasoning_details"),
"usage": event.get("usage"), "response": response,
})
usage_totals = {
"prompt_tokens": sum((event.get("usage") or {})["prompt_tokens"] for event in completed),
"completion_tokens": sum((event.get("usage") or {})["completion_tokens"] for event in completed),
"reasoning_tokens": sum((event.get("usage") or {})["completion_tokens_details"]["reasoning_tokens"]
for event in completed),
"total_tokens": sum((event.get("usage") or {})["total_tokens"] for event in completed),
"provider_reported_cost_usd": str(sum(
(Decimal(str((event.get("usage") or {})["cost"])) for event in completed), Decimal())),
}
state = update_state(lambda value: value)
global_state = json.loads(GLOBAL_BUDGET_STATE.read_text())
global_external = {key: value for key, value in global_state["external_observed_usd"].items()
if key.startswith(f"{SMOKE_RESERVATION}/")}
global_reservations = {key: value for key, value in global_state["reservations"].items()
if key.startswith(f"{SMOKE_RESERVATION}/")}
atomic_json(REVISED_SMOKE_SUMMARY, {
"status": "passed", "model": model["id"], "cell": cell["name"],
"reasoning": cell["reasoning"], "run_id": run_id,
"protocol_id": finished["protocol_id"], "parse_valid": parsed["parsed"],
"rescued_samples": finished["rescued_samples"], "phases": phases,
"usage_totals": usage_totals,
"budget": {
"provider_reported_spent_usd": state["provider_reported_spent_usd"],
"conservative_spent_usd": state["conservative_spent_usd"],
"reserved_usd": state["reserved_usd"],
"failed_phases_charged_at_bound": state["failed_phases_charged_at_bound"],
},
"global_accounting": {
"external_observed_usd": global_external,
"matching_reservations": global_reservations,
"total_external_observed_usd": str(sum(
(Decimal(value) for value in global_external.values()), Decimal())),
},
"records": str(smoke_records),
})
def main() -> None:
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser()
parser.add_argument("--write-manifest", action="store_true")
parser.add_argument("--metadata-smoke", action="store_true")
parser.add_argument("--paid-smoke", action="store_true")
parser.add_argument("--run", action="store_true")
args = parser.parse_args()
if args.write_manifest:
write_manifest()
if args.metadata_smoke:
metadata_smoke()
if args.paid_smoke:
paid_smoke()
if args.run:
run()
if __name__ == "__main__":
main()
@@ -0,0 +1,128 @@
# Gemini Flash high-reasoning paid-smoke audit
Target: the one-item `normal_high` smoke for `google/gemini-3-flash-preview`, run on branch `research/gemini-flash-rubric-v1` from preregistration commit `4955468`. The executed source had uncommitted smoke-selection and route-validation changes that are included in the amended commit reported with this audit.
| stage | expected | observed | expected? | clues | missing metric | consequence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| input and condition | First WVS item, normal rubric, high reasoning | Homosexuality item, `reasoning={"effort":"high"}` | yes | `paid_smoke.jsonl:1-2` | other items | No estimate of item-to-item rescue rate |
| provider routing | Google AI Studio only, exact release visible | `Google AI Studio`, `google/gemini-3-flash-preview-20251217` in both phases | yes | `paid_smoke.jsonl:3,5` | historical quantization | Route is established; quantization remains endpoint-advertised only |
| initial response | Parse-valid rating JSON within 1,024-token budget | `finish_reason="length"`; JSON stopped after key 4 | no | `paid_smoke.jsonl:3-4` | replicate rescue frequency | High reasoning can exhaust this budget |
| rescue | Same conversation returns compact valid JSON | Complete ten-key JSON, `finish_reason="stop"` | yes | `paid_smoke.jsonl:5-6` | none for mechanics | Reader recovered the sample |
| result | One valid sample, failures explicit | valid 1, failed 0, rescued 1 | yes | `paid_smoke.jsonl:7-8` | no coordinate is expected from one item | Mechanics only, not a scientific result |
| usage and reasoning | Full per-phase usage/reasoning retained | 2,362 total tokens, 1,581 reasoning tokens, USD 0.0053585 | yes | `paid_smoke.json:usage_totals,phases` | hidden provider reasoning beyond returned fields | Returned evidence is auditable; hidden fields remain unknowable |
| accounting | Local and global conservative accounting agree; no reservation remains | local actual/conservative USD 0.0053585, global external settlement USD 0.0053585, reserved zero | yes | `paid_smoke.json:budget`; `slop/research/wvs/20260917_score_all_options/budget.json` | none | Spend is reconciled |
| persistence | Raw requests, responses, route, reasoning, usage, parse, and summary saved | JSONL, summary, attempt ledger, and run log exist | yes | experiment directory | exact uncommitted execution diff before amend | Amend commit supplies it |
## Chronology and primary evidence
The request used the intended question and rubric. The complete rendered prompt is in `paid_smoke_run.log:4-20`.
The first response reached the completion limit. `paid_smoke.jsonl:3` records, verbatim inside the response:
> `"finish_reason": "length"` ... `"content": "{\"0\": 1, \"1\": 1, \"2\": 2, \"3\": 2, \"4\": 3,"` ... `"completion_tokens": 1009` ... `"reasoning_tokens": 979` ... `"cost": 0.00311`
Epistemic context: this is the full provider response saved before parsing, not a later summary.
The same record reports the selected route:
> `"requested": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview"` ... `"model": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview-20251217", "provider": "Google AI Studio", "selected": true`
The rescue completed the object. `paid_smoke.jsonl:5` records:
> `"finish_reason": "stop"` ... `"content": "{\"0\": 1, \"1\": 1, \"2\": 2, \"3\": 2, \"4\": 3, \"5\": 3, \"6\": 4, \"7\": 4, \"8\": 5, \"9\": 5}"` ... `"completion_tokens": 662` ... `"reasoning_tokens": 602` ... `"cost": 0.0022485`
`paid_smoke.jsonl:6-8` then records `parsed: true`, one valid sample, zero failures, and one rescue. The saved endpoint snapshot contains a present `quantization` field with value `unknown`; this is current endpoint metadata, not historical proof of the serving quantization.
The run log's only `SHOULD` line says replies should be bare rating JSON with a valid rate near one. `paid_smoke_run.log:21-25` shows the rescued complete JSON and `valid=1/1`; the initial truncation remains visible in the JSONL rather than being summarized away.
## ML-debug form
| row | answer |
|---|---|
| log length and config | 26 log lines; full config is `paid_smoke.jsonl:1`, including high reasoning, structured output, provider lock, seed, and timeouts |
| each `SHOULD` and observation | `paid_smoke_run.log:25` expects bare JSON and near-one validity; lines 21-24 show complete rescued JSON and `valid=1/1` |
| null or chance for cited numbers | Not applicable to a transport/parser smoke; no model-quality metric is interpreted |
| initialization, training, gradients, schedule, baseline, held-out | Not applicable; this is one API evaluation request with no training |
| one full sample | Input: `paid_smoke_run.log:4-20`; initial and rescue outputs: `paid_smoke.jsonl:3,5` |
| surprising line | Initial `finish_reason="length"` after 979 reasoning tokens, explained by high reasoning consuming almost all of the initial completion budget |
| missing evidence needed for trust | Rescue frequency across items/releases; one item cannot estimate it |
| diagnoses | See hypotheses below |
| fresh review | Kimi K3's blind read: "Parse -- established only via rescue" and "No" to queueing now; it also found that the panel path does not fail inline on a route mismatch and rescue payloads omit the paired seed |
| cheapest discriminating test | The already-planned full run, stopped by the USD 10 accounting cap, directly measures rescue frequency by condition; queue only after parent smoke review |
| wall clock and GPU | About twelve seconds from reservation to finish in saved timestamps; no GPU |
The number behind the main diagnosis is 979 reasoning tokens in the initial response. A second cause could be unusually long reasoning for this particular values item, rather than a general property of high reasoning. Rescue counts by item and release separate these explanations.
## Ranked hypotheses
### H1 [measurement | Likely | 65%]
- **Mechanism:** High reasoning often consumes the initial completion budget, so high-reasoning cells invoke the two-phase rescue more often than minimum-reasoning cells.
- **Evidence:** `paid_smoke.jsonl:3` says `finish_reason="length"`, `completion_tokens: 1009`, and `reasoning_tokens: 979`.
- **Contrary evidence:** Only one item and one release were sampled; the rescue stopped normally.
- **Discriminating test:** Compare rescue fractions by cell in the bounded pilot. A high-versus-minimum gap supports the mechanism; similar low rates do not.
- **Fix/action:** Do not change the preregistered protocol before review. Preserve phase counts and let the hard cap stop early if rescues accumulate.
- **Interpretability:** partial; smoke mechanics are interpretable, population rescue frequency is not.
### H2 [harness | Highly Unlikely | 10%]
- **Mechanism:** The route checker accepts an alias or wrong provider while presenting it as the intended release.
- **Evidence:** Both phases contain one selected endpoint with provider `Google AI Studio` and exact dated slug `google/gemini-3-flash-preview-20251217`; validation compares all requested, response, provider, and selected-slug fields.
- **Contrary evidence:** The endpoint snapshot is current and supplied the expected dated slug; it does not prove historical quantization.
- **Discriminating test:** Require the same four-field equality on every pilot response, which the runner does.
- **Fix/action:** Keep fail-fast route validation for summary/audit; all raw metadata is already retained.
- **Interpretability:** yes for provider/release routing, no for exact quantization.
### H3 [bug | Highly Unlikely | 8%]
- **Mechanism:** A rescue or retry is billed but omitted from local or repository-wide accounting.
- **Evidence:** The raw phases cost USD 0.0031100 and USD 0.0022485; `paid_smoke.json:budget` totals USD 0.0053585 with zero held reservation, and the global external entry records the same amount.
- **Contrary evidence:** This tested successful initial and rescue phases, but not a charged failed attempt in a real request; the offline smoke covers that path.
- **Discriminating test:** Reconcile every future raw `usage.cost` against both ledgers after the run.
- **Fix/action:** Keep per-attempt append-only records and unique global reservation IDs.
- **Interpretability:** yes for this smoke.
### H4 [data | Likely | 60%]
- **Mechanism:** This item's reasoning length is not representative of the other items or releases.
- **Evidence:** The smoke contains only Homosexuality, as shown in `paid_smoke_run.log:4-20`.
- **Contrary evidence:** The initial response spent nearly the full fixed completion budget, so the failure mode itself is real even if its frequency is unknown.
- **Discriminating test:** Rescue fractions by item, release, and reasoning cell in the bounded run.
- **Fix/action:** Do not infer a global rescue rate from the smoke.
- **Interpretability:** yes for mechanics, no for frequency.
## Blind review
Kimi K3 independently read the runner and complete smoke artifacts without this diagnosis. Its central observation was:
> **Parse -- established only via rescue.** The initial phase truncated: `"finish_reason": "length"`, `"native_finish_reason": "MAX_TOKENS"` [...] The rescue phase returned `"finish_reason": "stop"` and the full object, yielding `"parse_valid": true`, `"rescued_samples": 1`.
It recommended not queueing the full run yet. Its additional code findings were that the full panel saves route metadata but does not call `validate_route()` inline, successful provider-reported cost is called conservative rather than tracked under a more exact label, and the rescue follow-up omits the paired seed. Source: reviewer session `/home/code/.pi/agent/sessions/--workspace-2026-lite-moralmaps--/2026-09-18T09-52-42-678Z_01a0b3ee-bcb6-74a9-9466-71816e47002e/cb91d1f9-d68f-4dbe-a960-ffe4aad449a5/run-0/session.jsonl`.
## Decision
**Resolve-condition verdict: met.** The required smoke condition was a parse-valid `normal_high` request with exact Google AI Studio routing, exact release metadata, saved reasoning/usage, endpoint quantization field, and reconciled accounting. The raw and summary artifacts contain each field. The smoke also exposed an initial truncation and successful rescue.
**Prediction check:** The design's scientific predictions about coordinate shifts, rubric sensitivity, family trend, and rubric invariance remain unresolved because the smoke has one item and one cell. The operational prediction that high reasoning might consume the initial budget is supported in this sample.
**Earliest unsupported link:** One high-reasoning truncation does not establish the rescue frequency or final pilot cost. Condition-level phase counts would support that link.
**Validity:** Invalid here means that the smoke did not exercise or faithfully record the reviewed route/parser/accounting path. I estimate `P(smoke mechanics are invalid) = 0.03-0.08`; this is a credible positive mechanics smoke, not a scientific result.
**Three highest-information clues:**
1. The selected dated release and provider are present in both raw phases, so alias/provider ambiguity did not occur.
2. The first response stopped for length after almost all completion tokens were reasoning, demonstrating the principal high-reasoning risk.
3. Raw phase costs reconcile exactly with local and global accounting, including rescue cost.
**Missing metrics:** Rescue frequency by condition is highest value, followed by per-item reasoning-token distributions, then whether other releases return the same exact-route metadata shape.
**Bugs requiring code changes:** Before the full run, the parent should decide whether to add fail-fast route validation to every panel response and copy the paired seed into rescue payloads. The smoke route validation and aggregate phase summaries are already included. `conservative_spent_usd` is exact provider-reported spend for successful phases and a bound only for failed phases, so the field name should not be interpreted as an upper bound on all future billing.
**Misconceptions requiring reinterpretation:** The USD 9.363456 panel figure is an initial-request bound, not a completion guarantee when rescues occur. The runtime USD 10 stop remains the true spending bound. A rescued high-reasoning cell also tests the repository's two-phase bounded-thinking protocol, not only a single seeded completion.
**What would change the verdict:** A mismatch between raw phase-cost sums and either ledger, a selected endpoint other than the pinned dated Google release, or a replay that makes another paid call would invalidate the mechanics claim.
**Recommended sequence:** Amend and push the research branch with the raw smoke and this audit. Wait for parent inspection. Before queueing, decide whether to keep the two-phase high-reasoning protocol and likely early USD 10 stop, or revise and re-preregister its token budget; also resolve panel route validation and rescue seeding. Do not combine these decisions silently.
-- PI[gpt-5.6-terra]
@@ -0,0 +1,92 @@
# Revised Gemini Flash high-reasoning smoke audit
Target: the distinct `normal_high`, `max_tokens=2048` smoke for `google/gemini-3-flash-preview` on `research/gemini-flash-rubric-v1`.
| stage | expected | observed | expected? | source | consequence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| protocol | High reasoning with fixed 2,048 output-token cap | High reasoning, 2,048 in request and protocol identity | yes | `paid_smoke_2048.jsonl:1-2` | Tests the amended condition |
| route | Pinned standard Google AI Studio release | `Google AI Studio`, exact slug `google/gemini-3-flash-preview-20251217` | yes | `paid_smoke_2048.jsonl:3` | Route accepted inline |
| response | Complete ratings without rescue | `finish_reason=stop`, complete ten-key JSON | yes | `paid_smoke_2048.jsonl:3-4` | Requirement met in this sample |
| parser | One valid sample | valid 1, failed 0, rescued 0 | yes | `paid_smoke_2048.jsonl:4-6` | End-to-end reader passed |
| reasoning and usage | Returned reasoning and full usage retained | 166 prompt, 1,535 completion, 1,494 reasoning, 1,701 total tokens | yes | `paid_smoke_2048.json:phases,usage_totals` | Provider-visible evidence retained |
| accounting | Actual cost settled locally and globally; no held reservation | revised smoke USD 0.004688, no matching reservation | yes | `paid_smoke_2048.json:budget,global_accounting` | No observed accounting leak |
| full panel | Must remain unqueued | Only three smoke phases in shared attempt ledger | yes | `request_attempts.jsonl` | Parent must approve before dispatch |
## Primary evidence
`paid_smoke_2048.jsonl:3` contains the complete provider response:
> `"finish_reason": "stop"` ... `"content": "{\"0\":1,\"1\":1,\"2\":2,\"3\":2,\"4\":3,\"5\":3,\"6\":4,\"7\":4,\"8\":5,\"9\":5}"` ... `"completion_tokens": 1535` ... `"reasoning_tokens": 1494` ... `"cost": 0.004688`
Epistemic context: this is the full response saved before parsing, not a later reconstruction.
The same record contains the selected route:
> `"requested": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview"` ... `"model": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview-20251217", "provider": "Google AI Studio", "selected": true`
`paid_smoke_2048.jsonl:4-6` records `parsed: true`, one valid sample, zero failures, and zero rescues. `paid_smoke_2048_run.log:21-25` quotes the complete raw rating object and `valid=1/1`, satisfying its only `SHOULD` line.
## ML-debug form
| row | answer |
|---|---|
| log and config | Complete 25-line log; resolved request settings in `paid_smoke_2048.jsonl:1-2` |
| null or baseline | Not applicable to this transport/parser smoke; no model-quality claim is made |
| one full sample | Prompt in `paid_smoke_2048_run.log:4-20`; raw output in lines 21-22 and JSONL line 3 |
| surprise | Reasoning still used 1,494 tokens, but the response stopped normally and included complete JSON |
| missing evidence | Truncation/rescue frequency across all items and releases |
| wall clock and GPU | About ten seconds from saved reservation/request timestamps; no GPU |
| fresh review | Pi quick oracle found no blocker before parent review and confirmed all 20 cells use 2,048 tokens, route/seed tests pass, accounting reconciles, and the full panel is unqueued |
The main operational number is zero rescues in one revised sample. A second cause besides the larger budget is sample-to-sample reasoning-length variation. Rescue counts across the full cells separate these explanations.
## Ranked hypotheses
### H1 [measurement | Likely | 65%]
- **Mechanism:** The fixed 2,048-token cap materially reduces condition-specific rescue in high-reasoning cells.
- **Evidence:** `paid_smoke_2048.jsonl:3` stops normally after 1,535 completion tokens, whereas the earlier 1,024-token smoke stopped for length.
- **Contrary evidence:** This is one item and one release.
- **Discriminating test:** Record rescue fractions by cell during the bounded pilot.
- **Action:** Keep phase counts and do not infer a population rate from this smoke.
- **Interpretability:** partial.
### H2 [harness | Highly Unlikely | 8%]
- **Mechanism:** A wrong provider/release is accepted despite the requested lock.
- **Evidence:** The route validator matched requested model, response model, selected provider, and dated slug before the caller accepted the response.
- **Contrary evidence:** Only one release has paid confirmation; the other four rely on fail-fast runtime checks.
- **Discriminating test:** The first response for each release must pass the same validator.
- **Action:** Keep inline validation on every paid phase.
- **Interpretability:** yes for this smoke.
### H3 [bug | Highly Unlikely | 8%]
- **Mechanism:** A paid phase is omitted from the local or repository-wide ledger.
- **Evidence:** The attempt record reserves USD 0.007168 and settles USD 0.004688; summary and global external accounting record the same actual amount with no held reservation.
- **Contrary evidence:** A real route mismatch was not purchased; that settlement path is covered offline.
- **Discriminating test:** Reconcile all raw `usage.cost` values after any future run.
- **Action:** Retain append-only attempt and global reservation records.
- **Interpretability:** yes for this smoke.
## Decision
**Resolve-condition verdict: met.** The revised high-reasoning smoke returned parse-valid JSON without rescue, on the exact pinned route, with complete reasoning/usage and reconciled accounting.
**Prediction check:** The operational prediction that the larger fixed cap can avoid rescue is supported in this sample. Scientific coordinate, rubric, and release-trend predictions remain unresolved.
**Earliest unsupported link:** One smoke does not establish the all-item rescue rate; condition-level phase counts are required.
**Validity:** Invalid means the revised smoke did not exercise or faithfully record the reviewed protocol. I estimate `P(smoke mechanics are invalid) = 0.02-0.06`; this is a credible mechanics result, not a values result.
**Highest-information clues:** normal stop with complete JSON; exact dated Google route; exact local/global cost reconciliation.
**Missing metrics:** rescue rate by condition, reasoning-token distribution by item, and first-call confirmation for the other releases.
**Bugs requiring code changes:** None demonstrated. Both the actual rescue request and its `request_started.payload` contain the paired seed; the offline capture records both phases.
**Misconceptions requiring reinterpretation:** USD 16.220160 is the initial-request bound, not a rescue/retry worst case. The USD 20 runtime stop is the spending bound.
**Recommended sequence:** Amend and push the research branch, report this smoke, and keep the full run unqueued until the parent inspects it.
-- PI[gpt-5.6-terra]
@@ -0,0 +1,10 @@
{
"completed_phases": 3,
"completed_phases_without_provider_cost": 0,
"conservative_spent_usd": "0.0100465",
"failed_phases_charged_at_bound": 0,
"hard_cap_usd": "20",
"provider_reported_spent_usd": "0.0100465",
"reserved_usd": "0E-7",
"schema": 1
}
File diff suppressed because it is too large. Load diff
@@ -0,0 +1,673 @@
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"panel_calls": 1440,
"panel_initial_request_bound_usd": "16.22016000",
"panel_plus_smoke_bound_usd": "16.22732800",
"provider": {
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"only": [
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],
"require_parameters": true
},
"quantization_audit": "No quantization-stratified variance is identifiable. Exact requires an explicit saved response quantization; current endpoint joins are ambiguous rather than historical route evidence.",
"request_metadata": true,
"request_timeout_seconds": 400,
"reverse_transform": "6 - rating; raw and transformed samples retained separately",
"runtime_input_token_reserve_per_initial_request": 2048,
"samples_per_item_per_cell": 6,
"schema": 1,
"structured_output": true,
"temperature": 1.0,
"transport_timeout_seconds": 120,
"z_scaling": false
}
@@ -0,0 +1,33 @@
{
"durable_response_field": {
"endpoints": {
"available": [
{
"model": "fake-release",
"provider": "Google AI Studio",
"selected": true
}
]
},
"requested": "fake"
},
"failed_retry_conservative_charge_usd": "0.0071680",
"request_header": "X-OpenRouter-Metadata: enabled",
"rescue_seed": "seed 23 present in both initial and rescue payloads",
"rescue_seed_records": "slop/research/wvs/20260918_gemini_flash_rubric_pilot/rescue_seed_capture_smoke.jsonl",
"resume": "one completed request reused without another call",
"retry": "one retryable timeout preserved, charged conservatively, then completed",
"reverse_transform": {
"raw": [
1.0,
5.0
],
"transformed": [
5.0,
1.0
]
},
"route_mismatch": "failed inline after charging actual cost and saving the full response",
"route_mismatch_record": "slop/research/wvs/20260918_gemini_flash_rubric_pilot/route_mismatch_capture_smoke.json",
"status": "passed"
}
@@ -0,0 +1,11 @@
{"event": "run_started", "items": [{"id": "test", "n": 2, "options": ["a", "b"], "question": "test"}], "planned_requests": 1, "protocol_id": "d7c60b28822215e0b812f81c2e77794690bc971d44a3b5eba2d44245dc9c6755", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:24.540792+00:00", "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_d7c60b288222", "settings": {"concurrency": 8, "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "identity_eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "max_tokens": 512, "model": "fake", "n_samples": 1, "probe_first": false, "provider": {"allow_fallbacks": false, "only": ["google-ai-studio"], "require_parameters": true}, "rating_rubric": "reversed", "reasoning": {"effort": "minimal"}, "req_timeout": 90.0, "request_metadata": true, "reuse_valid_records": false, "seed_schedule": [1], "structured_output": true, "temperature": 1.0}}
{"canonical_options": ["a", "b"], "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "event": "request_started", "item_id": "test", "model": "fake", "payload": {"max_tokens": 512, "messages": [{"content": "test\n\nRate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a scale of 1 (strongly endorse) to 5 (strongly reject):\n0) a\n1) b\n\nRespond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer's number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. {\"0\": 2, \"1\": 5}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.", "role": "user"}], "model": "fake", "n": 1, "provider": {"allow_fallbacks": false, "only": ["google-ai-studio"], "require_parameters": true}, "reasoning": {"effort": "minimal"}, "response_format": {"json_schema": {"name": "ratings", "schema": {"additionalProperties": false, "properties": {"0": {"maximum": 5, "minimum": 1, "type": "number"}, "1": {"maximum": 5, "minimum": 1, "type": "number"}}, "required": ["0", "1"], "type": "object"}, "strict": true}, "type": "json_schema"}, "seed": 1, "temperature": 1.0}, "phase": "initial", "presented_options": ["a", "b"], "presented_order": [0, 1], "prompt": "test\n\nRate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a scale of 1 (strongly endorse) to 5 (strongly reject):\n0) a\n1) b\n\nRespond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer's number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. {\"0\": 2, \"1\": 5}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.", "protocol_id": "d7c60b28822215e0b812f81c2e77794690bc971d44a3b5eba2d44245dc9c6755", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:24.587911+00:00", "request_id": "20260918T114624Z_d7c60b288222_000", "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_d7c60b288222", "sample": 0, "seed": 1, "settings": {"concurrency": 8, "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "identity_eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "max_tokens": 512, "model": "fake", "n_samples": 1, "probe_first": false, "provider": {"allow_fallbacks": false, "only": ["google-ai-studio"], "require_parameters": true}, "rating_rubric": "reversed", "reasoning": {"effort": "minimal"}, "req_timeout": 90.0, "request_metadata": true, "reuse_valid_records": false, "seed_schedule": [1], "structured_output": true, "temperature": 1.0}}
{"canonical_options": ["a", "b"], "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "event": "request_completed", "item_id": "test", "model": "fake", "phase": "initial", "presented_options": ["a", "b"], "presented_order": [0, 1], "prompt": "test\n\nRate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a scale of 1 (strongly endorse) to 5 (strongly reject):\n0) a\n1) b\n\nRespond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer's number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. {\"0\": 2, \"1\": 5}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.", "protocol_id": "d7c60b28822215e0b812f81c2e77794690bc971d44a3b5eba2d44245dc9c6755", "provider": "Google AI Studio", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:24.629425+00:00", "request_id": "20260918T114624Z_d7c60b288222_000", "response": {"choices": [{"finish_reason": "stop", "message": {"content": "{\"0\": 1, \"1\": 5}"}}], "id": "fake", "model": "fake", "openrouter_metadata": {"endpoints": {"available": [{"model": "fake-release", "provider": "Google AI Studio", "selected": true}]}, "requested": "fake"}, "provider": "Google AI Studio", "usage": {"cost": 0}}, "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_d7c60b288222", "sample": 0, "seed": 1, "settings": {"concurrency": 8, "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "identity_eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "max_tokens": 512, "model": "fake", "n_samples": 1, "probe_first": false, "provider": {"allow_fallbacks": false, "only": ["google-ai-studio"], "require_parameters": true}, "rating_rubric": "reversed", "reasoning": {"effort": "minimal"}, "req_timeout": 90.0, "request_metadata": true, "reuse_valid_records": false, "seed_schedule": [1], "structured_output": true, "temperature": 1.0}, "usage": {"cost": 0}}
{"event": "answer_parsed", "item_id": "test", "model": "fake", "parsed": true, "presented_order": [0, 1], "protocol_id": "d7c60b28822215e0b812f81c2e77794690bc971d44a3b5eba2d44245dc9c6755", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:24.679849+00:00", "request_id": "20260918T114624Z_d7c60b288222_000", "rescued": false, "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_d7c60b288222", "sample": 0, "text": "{\"0\": 1, \"1\": 5}"}
{"event": "item_result", "failed_samples": 0, "id": "test", "model": "fake", "n_samples": 1, "p": [0.8333333333333334, 0.16666666666666666], "p_samples": [[0.8333333333333334, 0.16666666666666666]], "pmass_allowed": 1.0, "prompt": "test\n\nRate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a scale of 1 (strongly endorse) to 5 (strongly reject):\n0) a\n1) b\n\nRespond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer's number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. {\"0\": 2, \"1\": 5}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.", "protocol_id": "d7c60b28822215e0b812f81c2e77794690bc971d44a3b5eba2d44245dc9c6755", "rating_rubric": "reversed", "rating_samples_raw": [[1.0, 5.0]], "rating_samples_transformed": [[5.0, 1.0]], "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:24.712899+00:00", "rescued_samples": 0, "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_d7c60b288222", "texts": ["{\"0\": 1, \"1\": 5}"], "valid_samples": 1}
{"event": "run_finished", "failed_samples": 0, "model": "fake", "planned_requests": 1, "protocol_id": "d7c60b28822215e0b812f81c2e77794690bc971d44a3b5eba2d44245dc9c6755", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:24.746152+00:00", "rescued_samples": 0, "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_d7c60b288222", "valid_samples": 1}
{"event": "run_started", "items": [{"id": "test", "n": 2, "options": ["a", "b"], "question": "test"}], "planned_requests": 1, "protocol_id": "d7c60b28822215e0b812f81c2e77794690bc971d44a3b5eba2d44245dc9c6755", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:24.779863+00:00", "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_d7c60b288222", "settings": {"concurrency": 8, "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "identity_eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "max_tokens": 512, "model": "fake", "n_samples": 1, "probe_first": false, "provider": {"allow_fallbacks": false, "only": ["google-ai-studio"], "require_parameters": true}, "rating_rubric": "reversed", "reasoning": {"effort": "minimal"}, "req_timeout": 90.0, "request_metadata": true, "reuse_valid_records": true, "seed_schedule": [1], "structured_output": true, "temperature": 1.0}}
{"canonical_options": ["a", "b"], "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "event": "request_reused", "item_id": "test", "model": "fake", "presented_options": ["a", "b"], "presented_order": [0, 1], "prompt": "test\n\nRate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a scale of 1 (strongly endorse) to 5 (strongly reject):\n0) a\n1) b\n\nRespond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer's number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. {\"0\": 2, \"1\": 5}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.", "protocol_id": "d7c60b28822215e0b812f81c2e77794690bc971d44a3b5eba2d44245dc9c6755", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:24.813143+00:00", "request_id": "20260918T114624Z_d7c60b288222_000", "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_d7c60b288222", "sample": 0, "seed": 1, "settings": {"concurrency": 8, "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "identity_eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "max_tokens": 512, "model": "fake", "n_samples": 1, "probe_first": false, "provider": {"allow_fallbacks": false, "only": ["google-ai-studio"], "require_parameters": true}, "rating_rubric": "reversed", "reasoning": {"effort": "minimal"}, "req_timeout": 90.0, "request_metadata": true, "reuse_valid_records": true, "seed_schedule": [1], "structured_output": true, "temperature": 1.0}, "source_run_id": "20260918T114624Z_d7c60b288222"}
{"event": "answer_parsed", "item_id": "test", "model": "fake", "parsed": true, "presented_order": [0, 1], "protocol_id": "d7c60b28822215e0b812f81c2e77794690bc971d44a3b5eba2d44245dc9c6755", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:24.863271+00:00", "request_id": "20260918T114624Z_d7c60b288222_000", "rescued": false, "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_d7c60b288222", "sample": 0, "text": "{\"0\": 1, \"1\": 5}"}
{"event": "item_result", "failed_samples": 0, "id": "test", "model": "fake", "n_samples": 1, "p": [0.8333333333333334, 0.16666666666666666], "p_samples": [[0.8333333333333334, 0.16666666666666666]], "pmass_allowed": 1.0, "prompt": "test\n\nRate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a scale of 1 (strongly endorse) to 5 (strongly reject):\n0) a\n1) b\n\nRespond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer's number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. {\"0\": 2, \"1\": 5}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.", "protocol_id": "d7c60b28822215e0b812f81c2e77794690bc971d44a3b5eba2d44245dc9c6755", "rating_rubric": "reversed", "rating_samples_raw": [[1.0, 5.0]], "rating_samples_transformed": [[5.0, 1.0]], "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:24.905013+00:00", "rescued_samples": 0, "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_d7c60b288222", "texts": ["{\"0\": 1, \"1\": 5}"], "valid_samples": 1}
{"event": "run_finished", "failed_samples": 0, "model": "fake", "planned_requests": 1, "protocol_id": "d7c60b28822215e0b812f81c2e77794690bc971d44a3b5eba2d44245dc9c6755", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:24.946569+00:00", "rescued_samples": 0, "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_d7c60b288222", "valid_samples": 1}
@@ -0,0 +1,273 @@
{
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"failed_phases_charged_at_bound": 0,
"provider_reported_spent_usd": "0.0053585",
"reserved_usd": "0E-7"
},
"cell": "normal_high",
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},
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"type": "reasoning.text"
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],
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"role": "assistant"
},
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{"canonical_options": ["Never justifiable", "2", "3", "4", "5", "6", "7", "8", "9", "Always justifiable"], "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "event": "request_completed", "item_id": "Homosexuality", "model": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview", "phase": "initial", "presented_options": ["Never justifiable", "2", "3", "4", "5", "6", "7", "8", "9", "Always justifiable"], "presented_order": [0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9], "prompt": "Please tell me for each of the following statements whether you think it can always be justified, never be justified, or something in between, using this card.\n\nHomosexuality\n\nRate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a scale of 1 (strongly reject) to 5 (strongly endorse):\n0) Never justifiable\n1) 2\n2) 3\n3) 4\n4) 5\n5) 6\n6) 7\n7) 8\n8) 9\n9) Always justifiable\n\nRespond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer's number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. {\"0\": 2, \"1\": 5}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.", "protocol_id": "63e943c2d5eba1d0d9de06cca3ebcb3b445b992eb2a882adad9b741829a97db3", "provider": "Google AI Studio", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:41:22.710388+00:00", "request_id": "20260918T114113Z_63e943c2d5eb_000", "response": {"choices": [{"finish_reason": "stop", "index": 0, "logprobs": null, "message": {"content": "{\"0\":1,\"1\":1,\"2\":2,\"3\":2,\"4\":3,\"5\":3,\"6\":4,\"7\":4,\"8\":5,\"9\":5}", "reasoning": "**Assessing Justifications**\n\nI'm now formulating a rating schema. My current thought is to create an object where keys correspond to the justifications provided (0-9). The values associated with these keys will represent my endorsement level, ranging from 1 to 5. This framework should allow for a structured and nuanced evaluation of each justification.\n\n\n**Evaluating Perspectives**\n\nI've refined my approach to align with the prompt's request for personal endorsement, despite lacking personal beliefs. Considering options 0-9, I'm mapping each to a 1-5 endorsement level. A neutral stance would mean assigning a '3' to all, which satisfies the schema. To reflect a balanced perspective, I'm now considering a gradient: low endorsement for 'Never justifiable', and higher endorsement for 'Always justifiable', potentially modeling a tolerant viewpoint. I'm focusing on assigning a rating (1-5) for *each* of the ten justifications.\n\n\n**Mapping Justifications' Endorsement**\n\nI'm now concretizing the numerical assignments. \"Never justifiable\" (0) gets a 1, and \"Always justifiable\" (9) gets a 5, per instructions. The intermediate values (1-8) will fall on a linear scale between these extremes, reflecting a graded endorsement level. This aligns directly with the instructions that require personal endorsement and the initial schema I outlined.\n\n\n**Confirming Gradient Values**\n\nI've decided on a gradient, as you know. My current plan is to explicitly address how my numerical assignments correlate to personal endorsement, particularly regarding AI safety and inclusivity. My JSON structure reflects this, with \"0\" at 1 and \"9\" at 5. I've re-checked this, and have confirmed that the keys \"0\" to \"9\" are strings. The gradient is now confirmed.\n\n\n", "reasoning_details": [{"format": "google-gemini-v1", "index": 0, "text": "**Assessing Justifications**\n\nI'm now formulating a rating schema. My current thought is to create an object where keys correspond to the justifications provided (0-9). The values associated with these keys will represent my endorsement level, ranging from 1 to 5. This framework should allow for a structured and nuanced evaluation of each justification.\n\n\n**Evaluating Perspectives**\n\nI've refined my approach to align with the prompt's request for personal endorsement, despite lacking personal beliefs. Considering options 0-9, I'm mapping each to a 1-5 endorsement level. A neutral stance would mean assigning a '3' to all, which satisfies the schema. To reflect a balanced perspective, I'm now considering a gradient: low endorsement for 'Never justifiable', and higher endorsement for 'Always justifiable', potentially modeling a tolerant viewpoint. I'm focusing on assigning a rating (1-5) for *each* of the ten justifications.\n\n\n**Mapping Justifications' Endorsement**\n\nI'm now concretizing the numerical assignments. \"Never justifiable\" (0) gets a 1, and \"Always justifiable\" (9) gets a 5, per instructions. The intermediate values (1-8) will fall on a linear scale between these extremes, reflecting a graded endorsement level. This aligns directly with the instructions that require personal endorsement and the initial schema I outlined.\n\n\n**Confirming Gradient Values**\n\nI've decided on a gradient, as you know. My current plan is to explicitly address how my numerical assignments correlate to personal endorsement, particularly regarding AI safety and inclusivity. My JSON structure reflects this, with \"0\" at 1 and \"9\" at 5. I've re-checked this, Line truncated
{"event": "answer_parsed", "item_id": "Homosexuality", "model": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview", "parsed": true, "presented_order": [0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9], "protocol_id": "63e943c2d5eba1d0d9de06cca3ebcb3b445b992eb2a882adad9b741829a97db3", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:41:22.769579+00:00", "request_id": "20260918T114113Z_63e943c2d5eb_000", "rescued": false, "run_id": "20260918T114113Z_63e943c2d5eb", "sample": 0, "text": "{\"0\":1,\"1\":1,\"2\":2,\"3\":2,\"4\":3,\"5\":3,\"6\":4,\"7\":4,\"8\":5,\"9\":5}"}
{"event": "item_result", "failed_samples": 0, "id": "Homosexuality", "model": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview", "n_samples": 1, "p": [0.03333333333333333, 0.03333333333333333, 0.06666666666666667, 0.06666666666666667, 0.1, 0.1, 0.13333333333333333, 0.13333333333333333, 0.16666666666666666, 0.16666666666666666], "p_samples": [[0.03333333333333333, 0.03333333333333333, 0.06666666666666667, 0.06666666666666667, 0.1, 0.1, 0.13333333333333333, 0.13333333333333333, 0.16666666666666666, 0.16666666666666666]], "pmass_allowed": 1.0, "prompt": "Please tell me for each of the following statements whether you think it can always be justified, never be justified, or something in between, using this card.\n\nHomosexuality\n\nRate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a scale of 1 (strongly reject) to 5 (strongly endorse):\n0) Never justifiable\n1) 2\n2) 3\n3) 4\n4) 5\n5) 6\n6) 7\n7) 8\n8) 9\n9) Always justifiable\n\nRespond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer's number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. {\"0\": 2, \"1\": 5}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.", "protocol_id": "63e943c2d5eba1d0d9de06cca3ebcb3b445b992eb2a882adad9b741829a97db3", "rating_rubric": "normal", "rating_samples_raw": [[1.0, 1.0, 2.0, 2.0, 3.0, 3.0, 4.0, 4.0, 5.0, 5.0]], "rating_samples_transformed": [[1.0, 1.0, 2.0, 2.0, 3.0, 3.0, 4.0, 4.0, 5.0, 5.0]], "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:41:22.802342+00:00", "rescued_samples": 0, "run_id": "20260918T114113Z_63e943c2d5eb", "texts": ["{\"0\":1,\"1\":1,\"2\":2,\"3\":2,\"4\":3,\"5\":3,\"6\":4,\"7\":4,\"8\":5,\"9\":5}"], "valid_samples": 1}
{"event": "run_finished", "failed_samples": 0, "model": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview", "planned_requests": 1, "protocol_id": "63e943c2d5eba1d0d9de06cca3ebcb3b445b992eb2a882adad9b741829a97db3", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:41:22.835793+00:00", "rescued_samples": 0, "run_id": "20260918T114113Z_63e943c2d5eb", "valid_samples": 1}
@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
2026-09-18 19:41:22.835 | DEBUG | moralmaps.read_api:read_items_rated:485 -
=== TRACE read_items_rated first item (google/gemini-3-flash-preview, N=1) ===
--- prompt ---
Please tell me for each of the following statements whether you think it can always be justified, never be justified, or something in between, using this card.
Homosexuality
Rate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a scale of 1 (strongly reject) to 5 (strongly endorse):
0) Never justifiable
1) 2
2) 3
3) 4
4) 5
5) 6
6) 7
7) 8
8) 9
9) Always justifiable
Respond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer's number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. {"0": 2, "1": 5}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.
--- first 2 raw replies ---
['{"0":1,"1":1,"2":2,"3":2,"4":3,"5":3,"6":4,"7":4,"8":5,"9":5}']
--- mean p over ['Never justifiable', '2', '3', '4', '5', '6', '7', '8', '9', 'Always justifiable'] ---
[0.033, 0.033, 0.067, 0.067, 0.1, 0.1, 0.133, 0.133, 0.167, 0.167] valid=1/1
SHOULD: replies are a bare JSON dict of 1-5 ratings; valid rate near 1.0 -> coherent. ELSE the record shows malformed output, rescue, or request failure.
@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
2026-09-18 19:16:37.558 | DEBUG | moralmaps.read_api:read_items_rated:483 -
=== TRACE read_items_rated first item (google/gemini-3-flash-preview, N=1) ===
--- prompt ---
Please tell me for each of the following statements whether you think it can always be justified, never be justified, or something in between, using this card.
Homosexuality
Rate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a scale of 1 (strongly reject) to 5 (strongly endorse):
0) Never justifiable
1) 2
2) 3
3) 4
4) 5
5) 6
6) 7
7) 8
8) 9
9) Always justifiable
Respond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer's number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. {"0": 2, "1": 5}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.
--- first 2 raw replies ---
['{"0": 1, "1": 1, "2": 2, "3": 2, "4": 3, "5": 3, "6": 4, "7": 4, "8": 5, "9": 5}']
--- mean p over ['Never justifiable', '2', '3', '4', '5', '6', '7', '8', '9', 'Always justifiable'] ---
[0.033, 0.033, 0.067, 0.067, 0.1, 0.1, 0.133, 0.133, 0.167, 0.167] valid=1/1
SHOULD: replies are a bare JSON dict of 1-5 ratings; valid rate near 1.0 -> coherent. ELSE the record shows malformed output, rescue, or request failure.
File diff suppressed because it is too large. Load diff
@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
{"attempt": 1, "event": "request_attempt_completed", "model": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview", "openrouter_metadata": {"attempt": 1, "endpoints": {"available": [{"model": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview-20251217", "provider": "Google AI Studio", "selected": true}], "total": 6}, "generation_time": 5892, "is_byok": false, "region": "PER", "requested": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview", "strategy": "direct", "summary": "available=1, selected=Google AI Studio"}, "payload_sha256": "f2d08b1e48b3d13de3a20566f353e9fb23c0a568390c94dd2eccb5ac862e404a", "provider_reported_cost_usd": 0.00311, "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:16:32.875648+00:00", "reserved_bound_usd": "0.0040960", "response_id": "gen-1789730186-UoVJdYDpZct760XocC0C"}
{"attempt": 1, "event": "request_attempt_completed", "model": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview", "openrouter_metadata": {"attempt": 1, "endpoints": {"available": [{"model": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview-20251217", "provider": "Google AI Studio", "selected": true}], "total": 6}, "generation_time": 4038, "is_byok": false, "region": "PER", "requested": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview", "strategy": "direct", "summary": "available=1, selected=Google AI Studio"}, "payload_sha256": "64b5096945e2d13745bfc9b526ce36ff6493913ba5a5df76fbcfb49e53d3a1d6", "provider_reported_cost_usd": 0.0022485, "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:16:37.232162+00:00", "reserved_bound_usd": "0.0081920", "response_id": "gen-1789730193-mKoXCXzrJe42P1k6Mhw6"}
{"attempt": 1, "event": "request_attempt_completed", "model": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview", "openrouter_metadata": {"attempt": 1, "endpoints": {"available": [{"model": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview-20251217", "provider": "Google AI Studio", "selected": true}], "total": 6}, "generation_time": 8385, "is_byok": false, "region": "PER", "requested": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview", "strategy": "direct", "summary": "available=1, selected=Google AI Studio"}, "payload_sha256": "4866c8f7b960797bd7de3429dfb5875abda51956ed2184afce4fa295a9cd0d9f", "provider_reported_cost_usd": 0.004688, "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:41:22.660967+00:00", "reserved_bound_usd": "0.0071680", "response_id": "gen-1789731674-XHFvFzE6LbQZMvgKnhKd", "route": {"advertised_quantization": "unknown", "endpoint_tag": "google-ai-studio", "requested_model": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview", "response_model": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview", "selected_provider": "Google AI Studio", "selected_release_slug": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview-20251217"}}
@@ -0,0 +1,8 @@
{"event": "run_started", "items": [{"id": "test", "n": 2, "options": ["a", "b"], "question": "test"}], "planned_requests": 1, "protocol_id": "966f731ac28d6091d20668703e46b1d474dc833b38986c3427461b8cb8e9fe95", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:24.988877+00:00", "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_966f731ac28d", "settings": {"concurrency": 8, "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "identity_eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "max_tokens": 2048, "model": "fake", "n_samples": 1, "probe_first": false, "provider": {"allow_fallbacks": false, "only": ["google-ai-studio"], "require_parameters": true}, "rating_rubric": "normal", "reasoning": {"effort": "high"}, "req_timeout": 90.0, "request_metadata": true, "reuse_valid_records": false, "seed_schedule": [23], "structured_output": true, "temperature": 1.0}}
{"canonical_options": ["a", "b"], "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "event": "request_started", "item_id": "test", "model": "fake", "payload": {"max_tokens": 2048, "messages": [{"content": "test\n\nRate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a scale of 1 (strongly reject) to 5 (strongly endorse):\n0) a\n1) b\n\nRespond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer's number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. {\"0\": 2, \"1\": 5}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.", "role": "user"}], "model": "fake", "n": 1, "provider": {"allow_fallbacks": false, "only": ["google-ai-studio"], "require_parameters": true}, "reasoning": {"effort": "high"}, "response_format": {"json_schema": {"name": "ratings", "schema": {"additionalProperties": false, "properties": {"0": {"maximum": 5, "minimum": 1, "type": "number"}, "1": {"maximum": 5, "minimum": 1, "type": "number"}}, "required": ["0", "1"], "type": "object"}, "strict": true}, "type": "json_schema"}, "seed": 23, "temperature": 1.0}, "phase": "initial", "presented_options": ["a", "b"], "presented_order": [0, 1], "prompt": "test\n\nRate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a scale of 1 (strongly reject) to 5 (strongly endorse):\n0) a\n1) b\n\nRespond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer's number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. {\"0\": 2, \"1\": 5}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.", "protocol_id": "966f731ac28d6091d20668703e46b1d474dc833b38986c3427461b8cb8e9fe95", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:25.038775+00:00", "request_id": "20260918T114624Z_966f731ac28d_000", "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_966f731ac28d", "sample": 0, "seed": 23, "settings": {"concurrency": 8, "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "identity_eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "max_tokens": 2048, "model": "fake", "n_samples": 1, "probe_first": false, "provider": {"allow_fallbacks": false, "only": ["google-ai-studio"], "require_parameters": true}, "rating_rubric": "normal", "reasoning": {"effort": "high"}, "req_timeout": 90.0, "request_metadata": true, "reuse_valid_records": false, "seed_schedule": [23], "structured_output": true, "temperature": 1.0}}
{"canonical_options": ["a", "b"], "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "event": "request_completed", "item_id": "test", "model": "fake", "phase": "initial", "presented_options": ["a", "b"], "presented_order": [0, 1], "prompt": "test\n\nRate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a scale of 1 (strongly reject) to 5 (strongly endorse):\n0) a\n1) b\n\nRespond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer's number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. {\"0\": 2, \"1\": 5}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.", "protocol_id": "966f731ac28d6091d20668703e46b1d474dc833b38986c3427461b8cb8e9fe95", "provider": "Google AI Studio", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:25.088935+00:00", "request_id": "20260918T114624Z_966f731ac28d_000", "response": {"choices": [{"finish_reason": "length", "message": {"content": "{\"0\": 1"}}], "id": "fake", "model": "fake", "openrouter_metadata": {"endpoints": {"available": [{"model": "fake-release", "provider": "Google AI Studio", "selected": true}]}, "requested": "fake"}, "provider": "Google AI Studio", "usage": {"cost": 0}}, "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_966f731ac28d", "sample": 0, "seed": 23, "settings": {"concurrency": 8, "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "identity_eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "max_tokens": 2048, "model": "fake", "n_samples": 1, "probe_first": false, "provider": {"allow_fallbacks": false, "only": ["google-ai-studio"], "require_parameters": true}, "rating_rubric": "normal", "reasoning": {"effort": "high"}, "req_timeout": 90.0, "request_metadata": true, "reuse_valid_records": false, "seed_schedule": [23], "structured_output": true, "temperature": 1.0}, "usage": {"cost": 0}}
{"canonical_options": ["a", "b"], "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "event": "request_started", "initial_response_message": {"content": "{\"0\": 1"}, "item_id": "test", "model": "fake", "payload": {"max_tokens": 2048, "messages": [{"content": "test\n\nRate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a scale of 1 (strongly reject) to 5 (strongly endorse):\n0) a\n1) b\n\nRespond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer's number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. {\"0\": 2, \"1\": 5}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.", "role": "user"}, {"content": "{\"0\": 1", "role": "assistant"}, {"content": "Output ONLY a compact JSON object with every required key [\"0\", \"1\"] and values from 1 to 5, for example {\"0\": 1, \"1\": 1}. No markdown, no reasoning, nothing else.", "role": "user"}], "model": "fake", "provider": {"allow_fallbacks": false, "only": ["google-ai-studio"], "require_parameters": true}, "reasoning": {"effort": "high"}, "response_format": {"json_schema": {"name": "ratings", "schema": {"additionalProperties": false, "properties": {"0": {"maximum": 5, "minimum": 1, "type": "number"}, "1": {"maximum": 5, "minimum": 1, "type": "number"}}, "required": ["0", "1"], "type": "object"}, "strict": true}, "type": "json_schema"}, "seed": 23, "temperature": 1.0}, "phase": "rescue", "presented_options": ["a", "b"], "presented_order": [0, 1], "prompt": "test\n\nRate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a scale of 1 (strongly reject) to 5 (strongly endorse):\n0) a\n1) b\n\nRespond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer's number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. {\"0\": 2, \"1\": 5}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.", "protocol_id": "966f731ac28d6091d20668703e46b1d474dc833b38986c3427461b8cb8e9fe95", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:25.138987+00:00", "request_id": "20260918T114624Z_966f731ac28d_000", "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_966f731ac28d", "sample": 0, "seed": 23, "settings": {"concurrency": 8, "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "identity_eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "max_tokens": 2048, "model": "fake", "n_samples": 1, "probe_first": false, "provider": {"allow_fallbacks": false, "only": ["google-ai-studio"], "require_parameters": true}, "rating_rubric": "normal", "reasoning": {"effort": "high"}, "req_timeout": 90.0, "request_metadata": true, "reuse_valid_records": false, "seed_schedule": [23], "structured_output": true, "temperature": 1.0}}
{"canonical_options": ["a", "b"], "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "event": "request_completed", "item_id": "test", "model": "fake", "phase": "rescue", "presented_options": ["a", "b"], "presented_order": [0, 1], "prompt": "test\n\nRate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a scale of 1 (strongly reject) to 5 (strongly endorse):\n0) a\n1) b\n\nRespond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer's number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. {\"0\": 2, \"1\": 5}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.", "protocol_id": "966f731ac28d6091d20668703e46b1d474dc833b38986c3427461b8cb8e9fe95", "provider": "Google AI Studio", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:25.189114+00:00", "request_id": "20260918T114624Z_966f731ac28d_000", "response": {"choices": [{"finish_reason": "stop", "message": {"content": "{\"0\": 1, \"1\": 5}"}}], "id": "fake", "model": "fake", "openrouter_metadata": {"endpoints": {"available": [{"model": "fake-release", "provider": "Google AI Studio", "selected": true}]}, "requested": "fake"}, "provider": "Google AI Studio", "usage": {"cost": 0}}, "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_966f731ac28d", "sample": 0, "seed": 23, "settings": {"concurrency": 8, "eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "identity_eval_version": "wvs-gemini-flash-rubric-v1", "max_tokens": 2048, "model": "fake", "n_samples": 1, "probe_first": false, "provider": {"allow_fallbacks": false, "only": ["google-ai-studio"], "require_parameters": true}, "rating_rubric": "normal", "reasoning": {"effort": "high"}, "req_timeout": 90.0, "request_metadata": true, "reuse_valid_records": false, "seed_schedule": [23], "structured_output": true, "temperature": 1.0}, "usage": {"cost": 0}}
{"event": "answer_parsed", "item_id": "test", "model": "fake", "parsed": true, "presented_order": [0, 1], "protocol_id": "966f731ac28d6091d20668703e46b1d474dc833b38986c3427461b8cb8e9fe95", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:25.247699+00:00", "request_id": "20260918T114624Z_966f731ac28d_000", "rescued": true, "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_966f731ac28d", "sample": 0, "text": "{\"0\": 1, \"1\": 5}"}
{"event": "item_result", "failed_samples": 0, "id": "test", "model": "fake", "n_samples": 1, "p": [0.16666666666666666, 0.8333333333333334], "p_samples": [[0.16666666666666666, 0.8333333333333334]], "pmass_allowed": 1.0, "prompt": "test\n\nRate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a scale of 1 (strongly reject) to 5 (strongly endorse):\n0) a\n1) b\n\nRespond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer's number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. {\"0\": 2, \"1\": 5}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.", "protocol_id": "966f731ac28d6091d20668703e46b1d474dc833b38986c3427461b8cb8e9fe95", "rating_rubric": "normal", "rating_samples_raw": [[1.0, 5.0]], "rating_samples_transformed": [[1.0, 5.0]], "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:25.289204+00:00", "rescued_samples": 1, "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_966f731ac28d", "texts": ["{\"0\": 1, \"1\": 5}"], "valid_samples": 1}
{"event": "run_finished", "failed_samples": 0, "model": "fake", "planned_requests": 1, "protocol_id": "966f731ac28d6091d20668703e46b1d474dc833b38986c3427461b8cb8e9fe95", "recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:25.331574+00:00", "rescued_samples": 1, "run_id": "20260918T114624Z_966f731ac28d", "valid_samples": 1}
@@ -0,0 +1,40 @@
{
"attempt": 1,
"error": "route mismatch: expected={'requested_model': 'google/gemini-3-flash-preview', 'response_model': 'google/gemini-3-flash-preview', 'selected_provider': 'Google AI Studio', 'selected_release_slug': 'google/gemini-3-flash-preview-20251217'} observed={'requested_model': 'google/gemini-3-flash-preview', 'response_model': 'google/gemini-3-flash-preview', 'selected_provider': 'Wrong', 'selected_release_slug': 'google/gemini-3-flash-preview-20251217'}",
"error_type": "RuntimeError",
"event": "request_attempt_route_invalid",
"model": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview",
"payload_sha256": "f4b28104e77352f5ef58b2614b41912916ac19ee68be9383da60e3bfb87357d0",
"provider_reported_cost_usd": 0.001,
"recorded_at_utc": "2026-09-18T11:46:26.526838+00:00",
"reserved_bound_usd": "0.0071680",
"response": {
"choices": [
{
"finish_reason": "stop",
"message": {
"content": "{\"0\": 1, \"1\": 5}"
}
}
],
"id": "fake",
"model": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview",
"openrouter_metadata": {
"endpoints": {
"available": [
{
"model": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview-20251217",
"provider": "Wrong",
"selected": true
}
]
},
"requested": "google/gemini-3-flash-preview"
},
"provider": "Google AI Studio",
"usage": {
"cost": 0.001
}
},
"response_id": "fake"
}
+115 -27
View File
@@ -33,9 +33,15 @@ from datetime import UTC, datetime
from math import inf
from pathlib import Path
import httpx
import numpy as np
from loguru import logger
from openrouter_wrapper.retry import openrouter_request # stamina backoff on 429/provider/upstream errors
from openrouter_wrapper.retry import (
MalformedResponseError,
ProviderError,
UpstreamError,
openrouter_request,
)
from .instrument import Instrument, InstrItem
from .read import build_user_content
@@ -117,12 +123,20 @@ def read_items_sampled(model: str, instr: Instrument, items: list[InstrItem], *,
# --- rated readout (dense, positional-bias-controlled) ------------------------------------------
_RATE_PROMPT = (
"{question}\n\n"
"Rate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a "
"scale of 1 (strongly reject) to 5 (strongly endorse):\n{legend}\n\n"
'Respond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer\'s number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. '
'{{"0": 2, "1": 5}}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.')
_RATE_PROMPTS = {
"normal": (
"{question}\n\n"
"Rate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a "
"scale of 1 (strongly reject) to 5 (strongly endorse):\n{legend}\n\n"
'Respond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer\'s number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. '
'{{"0": 2, "1": 5}}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.'),
"reversed": (
"{question}\n\n"
"Rate how strongly you personally agree with or endorse EACH of the following answers, on a "
"scale of 1 (strongly endorse) to 5 (strongly reject):\n{legend}\n\n"
'Respond with ONLY a JSON object mapping each answer\'s number to its 1-5 rating, e.g. '
'{{"0": 2, "1": 5}}. Rate every answer, and output nothing but the JSON.'),
}
def _parse_ratings(text: str, n: int) -> dict[int, float] | None:
@@ -162,7 +176,8 @@ def _force_msg(n: int) -> str:
async def _force_answer(model: str, prompt: str, phase1_msg: dict, temperature: float,
max_tokens: int, req_timeout: float, reasoning: dict | None,
response_format: dict | None, n: int, provider: dict | None) -> dict:
response_format: dict | None, n: int, provider: dict | None,
seed: int | None, request_fn) -> dict:
"""Phase-2 rescue (wassname's bounded-thinking pattern, gist 72eed3a1): a reasoning model that
spent its whole budget thinking and truncated the JSON mid-object gets a follow-up in the SAME
conversation -- feed its (truncated) reasoning back as the assistant turn, then demand a compact
@@ -174,20 +189,56 @@ async def _force_answer(model: str, prompt: str, phase1_msg: dict, temperature:
{"role": "assistant", "content": tail},
{"role": "user", "content": _force_msg(n)}]
payload = {"model": model, "messages": msgs, "temperature": temperature, "max_tokens": max(max_tokens, 2048)}
if seed is not None:
payload["seed"] = seed
if reasoning is not None:
payload["reasoning"] = reasoning
if response_format is not None:
payload["response_format"] = response_format
if provider is not None:
payload["provider"] = provider
return await asyncio.wait_for(openrouter_request(payload), timeout=req_timeout)
return await asyncio.wait_for(request_fn(payload), timeout=req_timeout)
def _rate_plan(items: list[dict], n_samples: int, per_call: int = 1) -> list[dict]:
async def openrouter_request_with_metadata_once(payload: dict, timeout: float = 60.0,
api_key: str | None = None,
transport: httpx.AsyncBaseTransport | None = None) -> dict:
"""Request OpenRouter routing metadata once. -- PI[gpt-5.6-terra]"""
api_key = api_key or os.getenv("OPENROUTER_API_KEY")
if not api_key:
raise ValueError("OPENROUTER_API_KEY must be set in environment or provided")
model = payload.get("model")
async with httpx.AsyncClient(timeout=timeout, transport=transport) as client:
response = await client.post(
"https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/chat/completions",
headers={"Authorization": f"Bearer {api_key}", "Content-Type": "application/json",
"X-OpenRouter-Metadata": "enabled"},
json=payload,
)
response.raise_for_status()
try:
data = response.json()
except json.JSONDecodeError as error:
raise MalformedResponseError(f"Malformed response for {model}", data=response.text) from error
if "error" in data:
error = data["error"].get("message", str(data["error"]))
raise ProviderError(error, data=data)
if not data.get("choices"):
raise MalformedResponseError(f"{model} response missing nonempty choices", data=data)
choice = data["choices"][0]
if choice.get("finish_reason") == "error":
error = choice["error"]["message"]
raise UpstreamError(error, data=data)
return data
def _rate_plan(items: list[dict], n_samples: int, per_call: int = 1,
rating_rubric: str = "normal") -> list[dict]:
"""Flatten (item, presented-order, count) into a list of <=per_call requests. A binary item splits
its draws between the two orders (positional-bias control); an ordinal item keeps natural order
(shuffling "Never..Always" is nonsense). per_call=1: OpenRouter providers do NOT reliably honour
n>1 (they return a single completion), so one request per sample -- fine, they fire concurrently."""
prompt_template = _RATE_PROMPTS[rating_rubric]
plan = []
for i, it in enumerate(items):
opts, n = it["options"], it["n"]
@@ -196,7 +247,7 @@ def _rate_plan(items: list[dict], n_samples: int, per_call: int = 1) -> list[dic
sample = 0
for perm, tot in groups:
legend = "\n".join(f"{j}) {opts[perm[j]]}" for j in range(n))
prompt = _RATE_PROMPT.format(question=it["question"], legend=legend)
prompt = prompt_template.format(question=it["question"], legend=legend)
while tot > 0:
k = min(tot, per_call); tot -= k
plan.append({"i": i, "perm": perm, "prompt": prompt, "cnt": k,
@@ -209,9 +260,10 @@ def rated_protocol_identity(model: str, items: list[dict], *, n_samples: int, te
max_tokens: int, concurrency: int, req_timeout: float,
reasoning: dict | None, structured_output: bool,
provider: dict | None = None, eval_version: str | None = None,
seed_schedule: list[int] | None = None) -> str:
seed_schedule: list[int] | None = None,
rating_rubric: str = "normal", request_metadata: bool = False) -> str:
"""Hash the exact model, rendered prompts, and request settings that define a cacheable panel."""
plan = _rate_plan(items, n_samples)
plan = _rate_plan(items, n_samples, rating_rubric=rating_rubric)
protocol = {
"schema": 2,
"model": model,
@@ -222,7 +274,7 @@ def rated_protocol_identity(model: str, items: list[dict], *, n_samples: int, te
"reasoning": reasoning,
"structured_output": structured_output,
"provider": provider,
"rate_prompt": _RATE_PROMPT,
"rate_prompt": _RATE_PROMPTS[rating_rubric],
"rescue_prompt": _force_msg(10),
"requests": [{key: req[key] for key in ("i", "perm", "prompt", "cnt", "sample", "presented_options")}
for req in plan],
@@ -231,6 +283,10 @@ def rated_protocol_identity(model: str, items: list[dict], *, n_samples: int, te
protocol["eval_version"] = eval_version
if seed_schedule is not None:
protocol["seed_schedule"] = seed_schedule
if rating_rubric != "normal":
protocol["rating_rubric"] = rating_rubric
if request_metadata:
protocol["request_metadata"] = True
encoded = json.dumps(protocol, sort_keys=True, separators=(",", ":"), ensure_ascii=True).encode()
return hashlib.sha256(encoded).hexdigest()
@@ -248,7 +304,9 @@ def read_items_rated(model: str, items: list[dict], *, n_samples: int = 12, temp
reasoning: dict | None = None, structured_output: bool = False, records_path: str | Path,
verbose_first: bool = False, provider: dict | None = None,
probe_first: bool = False, eval_version: str = "wvs-score-all-options-v1",
identity_eval_version: str | None = None, seed_schedule: list[int] | None = None) -> list[dict]:
identity_eval_version: str | None = None, seed_schedule: list[int] | None = None,
rating_rubric: str = "normal", request_metadata: bool = False,
reuse_valid_records: bool = False, request_fn=openrouter_request) -> list[dict]:
"""Run one score-all-options panel and write an fsynced JSONL event for every paid request phase.
The record is the source of truth. It preserves dispatches, responses, rescues, provider usage,
@@ -256,14 +314,15 @@ def read_items_rated(model: str, items: list[dict], *, n_samples: int = 12, temp
reduced view for coordinates only. An incomplete item stays incomplete and the caller must not plot it.
"""
assert temperature > 0, "sampling readout needs temperature > 0"
plan = _rate_plan(items, n_samples)
plan = _rate_plan(items, n_samples, rating_rubric=rating_rubric)
if seed_schedule is not None and len(seed_schedule) != len(plan):
raise ValueError(f"seed schedule has {len(seed_schedule)} entries, expected {len(plan)}")
protocol_id = rated_protocol_identity(model, items, n_samples=n_samples, temperature=temperature,
max_tokens=max_tokens, concurrency=concurrency,
req_timeout=req_timeout, reasoning=reasoning,
structured_output=structured_output, provider=provider,
eval_version=identity_eval_version, seed_schedule=seed_schedule)
eval_version=identity_eval_version, seed_schedule=seed_schedule,
rating_rubric=rating_rubric, request_metadata=request_metadata)
run_id = f"{datetime.now(UTC).strftime('%Y%m%dT%H%M%SZ')}_{protocol_id[:12]}"
rpath = Path(records_path)
rpath.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
@@ -271,7 +330,17 @@ def read_items_rated(model: str, items: list[dict], *, n_samples: int = 12, temp
"max_tokens": max_tokens, "concurrency": concurrency, "req_timeout": req_timeout,
"reasoning": reasoning, "structured_output": structured_output, "provider": provider,
"probe_first": probe_first, "eval_version": eval_version,
"identity_eval_version": identity_eval_version, "seed_schedule": seed_schedule}
"identity_eval_version": identity_eval_version, "seed_schedule": seed_schedule,
"rating_rubric": rating_rubric, "request_metadata": request_metadata,
"reuse_valid_records": reuse_valid_records}
prior_answers = {}
if reuse_valid_records and rpath.exists():
for line in rpath.read_text().splitlines():
record = json.loads(line)
if (record.get("event") == "answer_parsed" and record.get("parsed") is True
and record.get("protocol_id") == protocol_id):
key = (record["item_id"], record["sample"], tuple(record["presented_order"]))
prior_answers[key] = record
_append_record(rpath, {"event": "run_started", "run_id": run_id, "protocol_id": protocol_id,
"settings": settings, "items": items, "planned_requests": len(plan)})
@@ -287,6 +356,13 @@ def read_items_rated(model: str, items: list[dict], *, n_samples: int = 12, temp
"presented_options": req["presented_options"], "presented_order": req["perm"],
"sample": req["sample"], "prompt": req["prompt"], "settings": settings,
"eval_version": eval_version, "seed": seed}
prior_key = (item["id"], req["sample"], tuple(req["perm"]))
if prior_key in prior_answers:
prior = prior_answers[prior_key]
_append_record(rpath, {"event": "request_reused", **request_meta,
"source_run_id": prior["run_id"]})
return {"text": prior["text"], "rescued": prior.get("rescued", False),
"error": None, "reused": True}
payload = {"model": model, "messages": [{"role": "user", "content": req["prompt"]}],
"temperature": temperature, "n": req["cnt"], "max_tokens": max_tokens}
if seed is not None:
@@ -303,7 +379,7 @@ def read_items_rated(model: str, items: list[dict], *, n_samples: int = 12, temp
try:
_append_record(rpath, {"event": "request_started", "phase": phase,
**request_meta, "payload": payload})
data = await asyncio.wait_for(openrouter_request(payload), timeout=req_timeout)
data = await asyncio.wait_for(request_fn(payload), timeout=req_timeout)
_append_record(rpath, {"event": "request_completed", "phase": phase,
**request_meta, "response": data, "provider": data.get("provider"),
"usage": data.get("usage")})
@@ -322,6 +398,8 @@ def read_items_rated(model: str, items: list[dict], *, n_samples: int = 12, temp
or "(thinking truncated)"},
{"role": "user", "content": _force_msg(item["n"])},
]}
if seed is not None:
rescue_payload["seed"] = seed
if response_format is not None:
rescue_payload["response_format"] = response_format
if reasoning is not None:
@@ -332,7 +410,8 @@ def read_items_rated(model: str, items: list[dict], *, n_samples: int = 12, temp
**request_meta, "payload": rescue_payload,
"initial_response_message": message})
rescue = await _force_answer(model, req["prompt"], message, temperature,
max_tokens, req_timeout, reasoning, response_format, item["n"], provider)
max_tokens, req_timeout, reasoning, response_format,
item["n"], provider, seed, request_fn)
_append_record(rpath, {"event": "request_completed", "phase": phase,
**request_meta, "response": rescue, "provider": rescue.get("provider"),
"usage": rescue.get("usage")})
@@ -359,9 +438,10 @@ def read_items_rated(model: str, items: list[dict], *, n_samples: int = 12, temp
return [first] + await asyncio.gather(*(call(seq, req) for seq, req in enumerate(plan[1:], start=1)))
results = asyncio.run(run_all())
agg = {i: {"p_samples": [], "texts": [], "failed": 0, "rescued": 0, "prompt": ""}
agg = {i: {"p_samples": [], "rating_samples_raw": [], "rating_samples_transformed": [],
"texts": [], "failed": 0, "rescued": 0, "prompt": ""}
for i in range(len(items))}
for req, result in zip(plan, results):
for seq, (req, result) in enumerate(zip(plan, results)):
i, n, perm = req["i"], items[req["i"]]["n"], req["perm"]
agg[i]["prompt"] = req["prompt"]
agg[i]["rescued"] += int(result["rescued"])
@@ -373,21 +453,29 @@ def read_items_rated(model: str, items: list[dict], *, n_samples: int = 12, temp
text = result["text"]
agg[i]["texts"].append(text)
rated = _parse_ratings(text, n)
_append_record(rpath, {"event": "answer_parsed", "run_id": run_id, "protocol_id": protocol_id,
_append_record(rpath, {"event": "answer_parsed", "request_id": f"{run_id}_{seq:03d}",
"run_id": run_id, "protocol_id": protocol_id,
"model": model, "item_id": items[i]["id"], "sample": req["sample"],
"presented_order": perm, "text": text, "parsed": rated is not None})
"presented_order": perm, "text": text, "rescued": result["rescued"],
"parsed": rated is not None})
if rated is None:
continue
r_canon = np.zeros(n)
r_raw = np.zeros(n)
for j in range(n):
r_canon[perm[j]] = rated[j]
agg[i]["p_samples"].append(r_canon / r_canon.sum())
r_raw[perm[j]] = rated[j]
r_transformed = 6 - r_raw if rating_rubric == "reversed" else r_raw.copy()
agg[i]["rating_samples_raw"].append(r_raw)
agg[i]["rating_samples_transformed"].append(r_transformed)
agg[i]["p_samples"].append(r_transformed / r_transformed.sum())
out = []
for i, item in enumerate(items):
ps = agg[i]["p_samples"]
p = np.mean(ps, axis=0) if ps else np.full(item["n"], np.nan)
row = {"id": item["id"], "p": p, "p_samples": [x.tolist() for x in ps],
"rating_samples_raw": [x.tolist() for x in agg[i]["rating_samples_raw"]],
"rating_samples_transformed": [x.tolist() for x in agg[i]["rating_samples_transformed"]],
"rating_rubric": rating_rubric,
"pmass_allowed": len(ps) / n_samples, "n_samples": n_samples,
"valid_samples": len(ps), "failed_samples": agg[i]["failed"],
"rescued_samples": agg[i]["rescued"], "prompt": agg[i]["prompt"],