Separate AI 2040 priorities from our proposal

anz-2040.md

@@ -35,19 +35,19 @@ ANZ could fund stricter border biosecurity, including capacity for week-long air
 
 ### 2. Train specialists (2026-29)
 
-ANZ cannot outspend frontier powers on models. It could outspend larger allies in a few overlooked areas that the treaty will need. In its proposed division of technical safety work near the end of the preparation phase, AI 2040 allocates:
+ANZ cannot outspend frontier powers on models. It could outspend larger allies in a few overlooked areas that the treaty will need. AI 2040's alignment roadmap includes work on model behaviour:
 
 > "1% generally study AI personas+propensities and how this is shaped by training"
 >
 > AI Futures Project, [Alignment roadmap](https://ai-2040.com/supplements/alignment-roadmap) <!-- local evidence: alignment-roadmap.md:218 -->
 
-It also proposes:
+AI 2040 separately proposes:
 
 > "Automated research assistants and forecasters. AIs could enable a broad range of actors to have access to high-quality, labor intensive research and forecasts. It’s important that these be as truth-seeking as possible, rather than sycophantic."
 >
 > AI Futures Project, [AI for epistemics](https://ai-2040.com/supplements/ai-for-epistemics) <!-- local evidence: ai-for-epistemics.md:217 -->
 
-AI 2040 does not assign these roles to ANZ. Our candidates are alignment steering, cultural-alignment evaluations, industrial cyber and hacking evaluations, and locked-down border biosecurity. Treaty verification would give some of the same researchers a role in the deal itself.
+AI 2040 does not assign these roles to ANZ. We think ANZ should outspend its allies to build capacity in steering and model personas, cultural-alignment evaluations, industrial cyber and hacking evaluations, and locked-down border biosecurity. These areas look neglected and remain useful across several futures. Treaty verification could draw on some of the same researchers.
 
 ### 3. Ask for terms before signing (2029)
 

index.html

@@ -173,17 +173,17 @@ footer { margin-top: 3rem; padding-top: 1rem; border-top: 1px solid var(--rule);
 </blockquote>
 <p>ANZ could fund stricter border biosecurity, including capacity for week-long airport quarantine during high-risk periods and privacy-preserving contact tracing.</p>
 <h3 id="2-train-specialists-2026-29">2. Train specialists (2026-29)</h3>
-<p>ANZ cannot outspend frontier powers on models. It could outspend larger allies in a few overlooked areas that the treaty will need. In its proposed division of technical safety work near the end of the preparation phase, AI 2040 allocates:</p>
+<p>ANZ cannot outspend frontier powers on models. It could outspend larger allies in a few overlooked areas that the treaty will need. AI 2040's alignment roadmap includes work on model behaviour:</p>
 <blockquote>
 <p>"1% generally study AI personas+propensities and how this is shaped by training"</p>
 <p>AI Futures Project, <a href="https://ai-2040.com/supplements/alignment-roadmap">Alignment roadmap</a></p>
 </blockquote>
-<p>It also proposes:</p>
+<p>AI 2040 separately proposes:</p>
 <blockquote>
 <p>"Automated research assistants and forecasters. AIs could enable a broad range of actors to have access to high-quality, labor intensive research and forecasts. It’s important that these be as truth-seeking as possible, rather than sycophantic."</p>
 <p>AI Futures Project, <a href="https://ai-2040.com/supplements/ai-for-epistemics">AI for epistemics</a></p>
 </blockquote>
-<p>AI 2040 does not assign these roles to ANZ. Our candidates are alignment steering, cultural-alignment evaluations, industrial cyber and hacking evaluations, and locked-down border biosecurity. Treaty verification would give some of the same researchers a role in the deal itself.</p>
+<p>AI 2040 does not assign these roles to ANZ. We think ANZ should outspend its allies to build capacity in steering and model personas, cultural-alignment evaluations, industrial cyber and hacking evaluations, and locked-down border biosecurity. These areas look neglected and remain useful across several futures. Treaty verification could draw on some of the same researchers.</p>
 <h3 id="3-ask-for-terms-before-signing-2029">3. Ask for terms before signing (2029)</h3>
 <p>Australia is named among the countries that join the deal. New Zealand is not mentioned in any of the 18 supplements we checked. AI 2040 recommends warning countries that leaving would bring heavy sanctions, cyberattacks, and perhaps war.</p>
 <p>Scott Alexander describes what observer countries are offered:</p>