mirror of
https://github.com/wassname/anz-2040-draft.git
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116 lines
10 KiB
XML
116 lines
10 KiB
XML
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<rect width="760" height="1042" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="380" y="82" text-anchor="middle" font-size="28" font-weight="bold" fill="#111">Choose a path</text>
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<path d="M257,150 C257,180 380,180 380,209" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.0"></path>
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<path d="M563,150 C563,180 380,180 380,209" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.0"></path>
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<path d="M380,265 C380,294 102,294 102,324" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="7.3"><title>28% misaligned takeover (AI 2040 supplement)</title></path>
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<path d="M380,265 C380,294 325,294 325,324" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="7.8"><title>30% aligned without a 'great future' (AI 2040 supplement)</title></path>
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<path d="M380,265 C380,294 603,294 603,324" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="10.9"><title>42% 'great future' (AI 2040 supplement)</title></path>
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<path d="M603,380 C603,410 250,410 250,439" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="3.3"><title>30% conditional on AI 2040's positive outcome; 12.6% of Plan A outcomes (our estimate)</title></path>
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<path d="M603,380 C603,410 506,410 506,439" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="7.6"><title>70% conditional on AI 2040's positive outcome; 29.4% of Plan A outcomes (our estimate)</title></path>
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<path d="M506,495 C506,524 503,524 503,554" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.0"></path>
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<path d="M506,495 C506,524 268,524 268,554" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.0" stroke-dasharray="5 5"></path>
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<path d="M503,610 C503,640 506,640 506,669" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.0"></path>
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<path d="M592,582 C647,582 647,812 574,812" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.0"></path>
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<path d="M268,610 C268,640 265,640 265,669" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.0"></path>
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<path d="M168,582 C123,582 123,812 186,812" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.0"></path>
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<path d="M477,840 C477,870 279,870 279,899" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.0"></path>
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<path d="M477,840 C477,870 510,870 510,899" fill="none" stroke="#a9a99f" stroke-width="1.0"></path>
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<rect x="200" y="280" width="83" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="241" y="292" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">misaligned!</text>
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<rect x="362" y="396" width="129" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="427" y="408" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">30% (our estimate)</text>
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<rect x="457" y="510" width="96" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="504" y="522" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">set our price</text>
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<rect x="476" y="626" width="56" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="504" y="638" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">host it</text>
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<rect x="599" y="685" width="96" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="647" y="697" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">stay supplier</text>
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<rect x="238" y="626" width="56" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="267" y="638" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">concert</text>
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<rect x="95" y="685" width="56" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="123" y="697" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">US bloc</text>
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<rect x="334" y="856" width="89" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="378" y="868" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">public stake</text>
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<rect x="462" y="856" width="63" height="17" fill="#fffff8"/>
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<text x="493" y="868" text-anchor="middle" fill="#555" font-size="12.5" font-style="italic">no stake</text>
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<a href="#1-prepare-before-it-looks-urgent-2026-28"><title>1. Prepare early — 2026-28: sovereign wealth funds, biosecurity, allies</title>
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<rect x="95" y="94" width="322" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#38761d" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="257" y="119" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">1. Prepare early</text>
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<text x="257" y="135" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">2026-28: sovereign wealth funds, biosecurity, allies</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#2-train-specialists-2026-29"><title>2. Train specialists — alignment, security, and policy</title>
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<rect x="462" y="94" width="203" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#38761d" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="563" y="119" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">2. Train specialists</text>
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<text x="563" y="135" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">alignment, security, and policy</text>
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</a>
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<a href="https://ai-2040.com/?choices=plan-a-root"><title>US chooses Plan A — verified slowdown + total research transparency</title>
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<rect x="233" y="209" width="294" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#888888" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="380" y="234" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">US chooses Plan A</text>
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<text x="380" y="250" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">verified slowdown + total research transparency</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#i-doom-about-28"><title>I. Doom</title>
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<rect x="27" y="324" width="150" height="56" rx="22" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#3d85c6" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="102" y="356" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">I. Doom</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#ii-humans-retain-control-but-the-world-still-goes-badly"><title>II. Humans retain control — but the world still goes badly</title>
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<rect x="221" y="324" width="208" height="56" rx="22" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#3d85c6" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="325" y="349" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">II. Humans retain control</text>
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<text x="325" y="365" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">but the world still goes badly</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#where-we-depart-from-ai-2040"><title>AI 2040's 42% estimate — Our question: does ANZ remain democratic?</title>
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<rect x="473" y="324" width="260" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#888888" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="603" y="349" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">AI 2040's 42% estimate</text>
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<text x="603" y="365" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">Our question: does ANZ remain democratic?</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#viii-homegrown-autocracy-free-beer-and-rugby-for-life"><title>VIII. Homegrown autocracy — citizens stop being needed</title>
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<rect x="146" y="439" width="208" height="56" rx="22" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#3d85c6" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="250" y="464" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">VIII. Homegrown autocracy</text>
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<text x="250" y="480" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">citizens stop being needed</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#3-ask-for-terms-before-signing-2029"><title>3. Sign, or set our price? — ANZ remains democratic</title>
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<rect x="398" y="439" width="216" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#b8860b" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="506" y="464" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">3. Sign, or set our price?</text>
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<text x="506" y="480" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">ANZ remains democratic</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#6-choose-a-side-if-the-deal-collapses-2030s"><title>6. If the deal collapses — US bloc, concert, or neutral?</title>
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<rect x="168" y="554" width="201" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#b8860b" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="268" y="579" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">6. If the deal collapses</text>
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<text x="268" y="595" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">US bloc, concert, or neutral?</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#4-host-allied-compute-2030-32"><title>4. Host compute here? — 2030-32</title>
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<rect x="413" y="554" width="179" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#b8860b" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="503" y="579" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">4. Host compute here?</text>
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<text x="503" y="595" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">2030-32</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#vii-middle-power-concert"><title>VII. Middle-power concert — allies bargain together</title>
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<rect x="160" y="669" width="208" height="56" rx="22" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#3d85c6" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="265" y="694" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">VII. Middle-power concert</text>
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<text x="265" y="710" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">allies bargain together</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#v-allied-compute-host"><title>V. Allied compute host — ANZ hosts US clusters</title>
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<rect x="413" y="669" width="187" height="56" rx="22" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#3d85c6" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="506" y="694" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">V. Allied compute host</text>
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<text x="506" y="710" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">ANZ hosts US clusters</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#vi-garrison-ally"><title>VI. Garrison ally — ANZ joins the US bloc</title>
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<rect x="186" y="784" width="150" height="56" rx="22" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#3d85c6" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="261" y="809" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">VI. Garrison ally</text>
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<text x="261" y="825" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">ANZ joins the US bloc</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#5-keep-a-public-stake-in-the-machine-economy-2031-34"><title>5. Tax it, own a share? — 2031-34</title>
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<rect x="380" y="784" width="194" height="56" rx="4" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#b8860b" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="477" y="809" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">5. Tax it, own a share?</text>
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<text x="477" y="825" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">2031-34</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#iii-dividend-commonwealth"><title>III. Dividend commonwealth — households own a share</title>
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<rect x="171" y="899" width="216" height="56" rx="22" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#3d85c6" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="279" y="924" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">III. Dividend commonwealth</text>
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<text x="279" y="940" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">households own a share</text>
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</a>
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<a href="#iv-quarry-economy"><title>IV. Quarry economy — no public stake</title>
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<rect x="431" y="899" width="157" height="56" rx="22" fill="#fffff8" stroke="#3d85c6" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="510" y="924" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="bold" font-size="13">IV. Quarry economy</text>
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<text x="510" y="940" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" font-size="11">no public stake</text>
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</a>
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